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We make two contributions to the problem of estimating the $L_1$ calibration error of a binary classifier from a finite dataset. First, we provide an upper bound for any classifier where the calibration function has bounded variation.…

Several arguments against the truth of the Riemann hypothesis are extensively discussed. These include the Lehmer phenomenon, the Davenport-Heilbronn zeta-function, large and mean values of $|\zeta(1/2+it)|$ on the critical line, and zeros…

数论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Aleksandar Ivić

We comment on some conceptual and and technical problems related to computational mechanics, point out some errors in several papers, and straighten out some wrong priority claims. We present explicitly the correct algorithm for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-04-09 Peter Grassberger

We consider extensions of the language of Peano arithmetic by transfinitely iterated truth definitions satisfying uniform Tarskian biconditionals. Without further axioms, such theories are known to be conservative extensions of the original…

逻辑 · 数学 2019-10-31 Lev D. Beklemishev , Fedor N. Pakhomov

Recent reports claim that Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved the ability to derive new science and exhibit human-level general intelligence. We argue that such claims are not rigorous scientific claims, as they do not satisfy…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Elchanan Mossel

Mixed-effects models have emerged as the gold standard of statistical analysis in different sub-fields of linguistics (Baayen, Davidson & Bates, 2008; Johnson, 2009; Barr, et al, 2013; Gries, 2015). One problematic feature of these models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-19 Christopher Eager , Joseph Roy

Let $X$ be a perfect, compact subset of the complex plane. We consider algebras of those functions on $X$ which satisfy a generalised notion of differentiability, which we call $\mathcal{F}$-differentiability. In particular, we investigate…

泛函分析 · 数学 2024-03-28 J. F. Feinstein , S. Morley

A famous conjecture bearing the name of Vandiver states that $p \nmid h_p^+$ in the $p$ - cyclotomic extension of $\Q$. Heuristics arguments of Washington, which have been briefly exposed in Lang (1978), p. 261 and Washington (1996), p. 158…

数论 · 数学 2012-10-30 Preda Mihăilescu

We present numerous interesting, mostly new, results involving the $n$-step Fibonacci numbers and $n$-step Lucas numbers and a generalization. Properties considered include recurrence relations, summation identities, including binomial and…

数论 · 数学 2018-08-09 Kunle Adegoke

We point out that common evaluation practices for cross-document coreference resolution have been unrealistically permissive in their assumed settings, yielding inflated results. We propose addressing this issue via two evaluation…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-06-09 Arie Cattan , Alon Eirew , Gabriel Stanovsky , Mandar Joshi , Ido Dagan

We provide a reply to a comment by I. Goychuk arXiv:1501.06996 [cond-mat.stat-mech] (not under active consideration with Phys. Rev. Lett.) on our Letter A. Rebenshtok, S. Denisov, P. H\"anggi, and E. Barkai, {\em Phys. Rev. Lett.} {\bf…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Adi Rebenshtok , Sergey Denisov , Peter Hänggi , Eli Barkai

This note is a discussion of the article "Bayesian model selection based on proper scoring rules" by A.P. Dawid and M. Musio, to appear in Bayesian Analysis. While appreciating the concepts behind the use of proper scoring rules, including…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-27 Clara Grazian , Ilaria Masiani , Christian P. Robert

This paper argues that, insofar as we doubt the bivalence of the Continuum Hypothesis or the truth of the Axiom of Choice, we should also doubt the consistency of third-order arithmetic, both the classical and intuitionistic versions.…

历史与综述 · 数学 2022-07-07 Paul Blain Levy

The consideration of nonstandard models of the real numbers and the definition of a qualitative ordering on those models provides a generalization of the principle of maximization of expected utility. It enables the decider to assign…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Daniel Lehmann

It's a bit tedious, but as John Doe and Jean Roe have insisted on offering further comments on our comprehensive refutation of the former's already tiringly obstinate advances, we feel compelled to review their not even wrong opinions once…

数学物理 · 物理学 2026-04-01 Z. Sommer , A. Winter

In this paper, we extend the $p$-adic valuations originally obtained by Carmichael for the sequences obtained by applying M\"obius inversion to Lucas sequences to $p$-adic congruences, from which we immediately derive corresponding…

数论 · 数学 2026-01-09 Tyler Ross , Zhongyan Shen , Tianxin Cai

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

Providing explanations about how machine learning algorithms work and/or make particular predictions is one of the main tools that can be used to improve their trusworthiness, fairness and robustness. Among the most intuitive type of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-12 Rubén Ruiz-Torrubiano

Reverse causality is a common causal misperception that distorts the evaluation of private actions and public policies. This paper explores the implications of this error when a decision maker acts on it and therefore affects the very…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-26 Ran Spiegler

Lucas' theorem describes how to reduce a binomial coefficient $\binom{a}{b}$ modulo $p$ by breaking off the least significant digits of $a$ and $b$ in base $p$. We characterize the pairs of these digits for which Lucas' theorem holds modulo…

数论 · 数学 2023-09-04 Eric Rowland