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相关论文: Choquet expectation and Peng's g-expectation

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Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-19 Elisabeth Waldmann , Fabian Sobotka , Thomas Kneib

Probabilities of causation (PoC) are valuable concepts for explainable artificial intelligence and practical decision-making. PoC are originally defined for scalar binary variables. In this paper, we extend the concept of PoC to continuous…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-03 Yuta Kawakami , Manabu Kuroki , Jin Tian

We consider the probabilistic numerical scheme for fully nonlinear PDEs suggested in \cite{cstv}, and show that it can be introduced naturally as a combination of Monte Carlo and finite differences scheme without appealing to the theory of…

概率论 · 数学 2010-08-26 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi , Xavier Warin

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising measure-consistent multivariate orthonormal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike existing PCEs, whether classical or generalized, no…

概率论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Sharif Rahman

We prove that any two general probabilistic theories (GPTs) are entangleable, in the sense that their composite exhibits either entangled states or entangled measurements, if and only if they are both non-classical, meaning that neither of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-05-02 Guillaume Aubrun , Ludovico Lami , Carlos Palazuelos , Martin Plávala

In this article we consider computing expectations w.r.t.~probability laws associated to a certain class of stochastic systems. In order to achieve such a task, one must not only resort to numerical approximation of the expectation, but…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-30 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

In Moral, Campos (1991) and Cano, Moral, Verdegay-Lopez (1991) a new method of conditioning convex sets of probabilities has been proposed. The result of it is a convex set of non-necessarily normalized probability distributions. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-25 Serafin Moral

In this paper, motived by the notion of independent and identically distributed random variables under the sub-linear expectation initiated by Peng, we give a theorem about the convergence of a random series and establish a three series…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-25 Jiapan Xu , Lixin Zhang

In this note, we study convergence rates in the law of large numbers for independent and identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectations. We obtain a strong $L^p$-convergence version and a strongly quasi sure…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-15 Ze-Chun Hu , Ning-Hua Liu , Ting Ma

This paper investigates the strict comparison theorem under the framework of $G$-expectation, i.e., let $X\leq Y$ q.s., if $X,Y$ satisfy some additional conditions, then $\E[X]<\E[Y]$.

概率论 · 数学 2010-02-26 Xinpeng Li

Monte Carlo method is a broad class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results. They are often used in physical and mathematical problems and are most useful when it is difficult or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-28 Bochao Jia

The main result presented in this article is that probability can fundamentally be characterized as a subset of conditional expectation induced by a plausible preorder on random quantities. This is justified by the fact that probability is…

逻辑 · 数学 2024-06-14 Ladislav Mečíř

A statistical learning approach for parametric PDEs related to Uncertainty Quantification is derived. The method is based on the minimization of an empirical risk on a selected model class and it is shown to be applicable to a broad range…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-01-07 Martin Eigel , Reinhold Schneider , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Wolf

Testing between hypotheses, when independent sampling is possible, is a well developed subject. In this paper, we propose hypothesis tests that are applicable when the samples are obtained using Markov chain Monte Carlo. These tests are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-14 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin

A generalization of expectiles for d-dimensional multivariate distribution functions is introduced. The resulting geometric expectiles are unique solutions to a convex risk minimization problem and are given by d-dimensional vectors. They…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-01-19 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Melina Mailhot

By comparing Schr\"odinger's cat with its classical counterpart, I show that a quantum superposition should be understood as an expectation over possible eigenstates weighted by wave-like probabilities. Upon the occurrence of a certain…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-11-07 Yanting Wang

Expectation Maximization (EM) is among the most popular algorithms for estimating parameters of statistical models. However, EM, which is an iterative algorithm based on the maximum likelihood principle, is generally only guaranteed to find…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-30 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu , Arian Maleki

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Tianyuan Cheng , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

Approximations of loopy belief propagation, including expectation propagation and approximate message passing, have attracted considerable attention for probabilistic inference problems. This paper proposes and analyzes a generalization of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-01-26 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Sundeep Rangan , Philip Schniter

Computing the expectation of kernel functions is a ubiquitous task in machine learning, with applications from classical support vector machines to exploiting kernel embeddings of distributions in probabilistic modeling, statistical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Wenzhe Li , Zhe Zeng , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck