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The aim of this paper is to study the fluctuations of a general class of supercritical branching Markov processes with non-local branching mechanisms. We show the existence of three regimes according to the size of the spectral gap…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-27 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

A new approach is developed for evaluating the convergence rate for nonlinear Markov chains (MC) based on the recently developed spectral radius technique of markovian coupling for linear MC and the idea of small nonlinear perturbations of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-27 Alexander Shchegolev , Alexander Veretennikov

We prove pathwise large-deviation principles of switching Markov processes by exploiting the connection to associated Hamilton-Jacobi equations, following Jin Feng's and Thomas Kurtz's method. In the limit that we consider, we show how the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-08 Mark A. Peletier , Mikola C. Schlottke

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

We discuss the limiting spectral density of real symmetric random matrices. Other than in standard random matrix theory the upper diagonal entries are not assumed to be independent, but we will fill them with the entries of a stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-09 Matthias Löwe , Kristina Schubert

The second largest eigenvalue of a transition matrix $P$ has connections with many properties of the underlying Markov chain, and especially its convergence rate towards the stationary distribution. In this paper, we give an asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-27 Simon Coste

In this paper we consider two related stochastic models. The first one is a branching system consisting of particles moving according to a Markov family in R^d and undergoing subcritical branching with a constant rate of V>0. New particles…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-27 Piotr Milos

The finite state semi-Markov process is a generalization over the Markov chain in which the sojourn time distribution is any general distribution. In this article we provide a sufficient stochastic maximum principle for the optimal control…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-07-14 Amogh Deshpande

We prove a large deviation principle on path space for a class of discrete time Markov processes whose state space is the intersection of a regular domain $\L\subset \R^d$ with some lattice of spacing $\e$. Transitions from $x$ to $y$ are…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Veronique Gayrard

A moderate deviation principle for functionals, with at most quadratic growth, of moving average processes is established. The main assumptions on the moving average process are a Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for the driving random…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Hacene Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Liming Wu

Pathways of diffusion observed in real-world systems often require stochastic processes going beyond first-order Markov models, as implicitly assumed in network theory. In this work, we focus on second-order Markov models, and derive an…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-01-03 Renaud Lambiotte , Vsevolod Salnikov , Martin Rosvall

Sup-normalized spectral functions form building blocks of max-stable and Pareto processes and therefore play an important role in modeling spatial extremes. For one of the most popular examples, the Brown-Resnick process, simulation is not…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-26 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather , Claudia Schillings

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

Rate processes are simple and analytically tractable models for many dynamical systems which switch stochastically between a discrete set of quasi stationary states but they may also approximate continuous processes by coarse grained,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-03-11 R. Toenjes , H. Kori

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

Many complex systems have natural representations as multi-layer networks. While these formulations retain more information than standard single-layer network models, there is not yet a fully developed theory for computing network metrics…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-03-17 Daryl R. DeFord , Scott D. Pauls

We consider a mean-field system of path-dependent stochastic interacting diffusions in random media over a finite time window. The interaction term is given as a function of the empirical measure and is allowed to be non-linear and path…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-03 Rangel Baldasso , Alan Pereira , Guilherme Reis

Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall