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For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-05 Aaron Chong , Konstantin Borovkov

We quantify the elementary Borel-Cantelli Lemma by higher moments of the overlap count statistic in terms of the weighted summability of the probabilities. Applications include mean deviation frequencies in the Strong Law and the Law of the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-29 Luisa F. Estrada , Michael A. Högele

The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-03-01 Hugo Touchette

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We derive a large deviation principle for random permutations induced by probability measures of the unit square, called permutons. These permutations are called $\mu$-random permutations. We also introduce and study a new general class of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-04 Jacopo Borga , Sayan Das , Sumit Mukherjee , Peter Winkler

We find necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a probability measure on $\mathbb{N}_0$, the nonnegative integers, whose first $n$ moments are a given $n$-tuple of nonnegative real numbers. The results, based on finding an…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-16 M. Infusino , T. Kuna , J. L. Lebowitz , E. R. Speer

Using martingale methods, we obtain some upper bounds for large and moderate deviations of products of independent and identically distributed elements of GL d (R). We investigate all the possible moment conditions, from super-exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-25 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou

We prove large deviations principles for spectral measures of perturbed (or spiked) matrix models in the direction of an eigenvector of the perturbation. In each model under study, we provide two approaches, one of which relying on large…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-24 Nathan Noiry , Alain Rouault

We develop a unified theory to analyze the microcanonical ensembles with several constraints given by unbounded observables. Several interesting phenomena that do not occur in the single constraint case can happen under the multiple…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-24 Kyeongsik Nam

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

In this paper we study empirical measures which can be thought as a decoupled version of the empirical measures generated by random matrices. We prove the large deviation principle with the rate function, which is finite only on product…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Wlodek Bryc

The moment problem in probability theory asks for criteria for when there exists a unique measure with a given tuple of moments. We study a variant of this problem for random objects in a category, where a moment is given by the average…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-10 Will Sawin , Melanie Matchett Wood

Due to their heterogeneity, insurance risks can be properly described as a mixture of different fixed models, where the weights assigned to each model may be estimated empirically from a sample of available data. If a risk measure is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-02-12 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

In this article, we develop a framework to study the large deviation principle for matrix models and their quantized versions, by tilting the measures using the limits of spherical integrals obtained in [46,47]. As examples, we obtain 1. a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Serban Belinschi , Alice Guionnet , Jiaoyang Huang

We study product regular conditional probabilities under measures of two coordinates with respect to the second coordinate that are weakly continuous on the support of the marginal of the second coordinate. Assuming that there exists a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-18 Willem van Zuijlen

Consider $M_n$ the maximal position at generation $n$ of a supercritical branching random walk. A\"id\'ekon (2013) obtained and described the convergence in law, as time $n$ goes to infinity, of $M_n-m_n$, where $m_n$ is an explicit…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Louis Chataignier , Lianghui Luo

Consider a real diagonal deterministic matrix $X_n$ of size $n$ with spectral measure converging to a compactly supported probability measure. We perturb this matrix by adding a random finite rank matrix, with delocalized eigenvectors. We…

概率论 · 数学 2011-06-21 Florent Benaych-Georges , Alice Guionnet , Mylène Maïda