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Motivated by a wide variety of applications, ranging from stochastic optimization to dimension reduction through variable selection, the problem of estimating gradients accurately is of crucial importance in statistics and learning theory.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-29 Guillaume Ausset , Stephan Clémençon , François Portier

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

When the in-sample Sharpe ratio is obtained by optimizing over a k-dimensional parameter space, it is a biased estimator for what can be expected on unseen data (out-of-sample). We derive (1) an unbiased estimator adjusting for both sources…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-26 Dirk Paulsen , Jakob Söhl

We consider a multivariate density model where we estimate the excess mass of the unknown probability density $f$ at a given level $\nu>0$ from $n$ i.i.d. observed random variables. This problem has several applications such as…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea , Mathilde Mougeot , Karine Tribouley

Neural network-based methods for (un)conditional density estimation have recently gained substantial attention, as various neural density estimators have outperformed classical approaches in real-data experiments. Despite these empirical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Dehao Dai , Jianqing Fan , Yihong Gu , Debarghya Mukherjee

We consider the nonparametric regression with a random design model, and we are interested in the adaptive estimation of the regression at a point $x\_0$ where the design is degenerate. When the design density is $\beta$-regularly varying…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

Let $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that, for any function $\varphi :\mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$, under regularity conditions, \[n^…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-07 Bernard Delyon , François Portier

We consider estimation of a step function $f$ from noisy observations of a deconvolution $\phi*f$, where $\phi$ is some bounded $L_1$-function. We use a penalized least squares estimator to reconstruct the signal $f$ from the observations,…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Leif Boysen , Axel Munk

In the random coefficients binary choice model, a binary variable equals 1 iff an index $X^\top\beta$ is positive.The vectors $X$ and $\beta$ are independent and belong to the sphere $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$.We prove lower…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Eric Gautier , Erwan Le Pennec

This paper studies density estimation under pointwise loss in the setting of contamination model. The goal is to estimate $f(x_0)$ at some $x_0\in\mathbb{R}$ with i.i.d. observations, $$ X_1,\dots,X_n\sim (1-\epsilon)f+\epsilon g, $$ where…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-30 Haoyang Liu , Chao Gao

Under the frequency domain framework for weakly dependent functional time series, a key element is the spectral density kernel which encapsulates the second-order dynamics of the process. We propose a class of spectral density kernel…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-11 Tingyi Zhu , Dimitris N. Politis

We extend balloon and sample-smoothing estimators, two types of variable-bandwidth kernel density estimators, by a shift parameter and derive their asymptotic properties. Our approach facilitates the unified study of a wide range of density…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-11 Till Hoffmann , Nick S. Jones

We study stochastic convex optimization under infinite noise variance. Specifically, when the stochastic gradient is unbiased and has uniformly bounded $(1+\kappa)$-th moment, for some $\kappa \in (0,1]$, we quantify the convergence rate of…

In this paper, we study the problem of pointwise estimation of a multivariate density. We provide a data-driven selection rule from the family of kernel estimators and derive for it a pointwise oracle inequality. Using the latter bound, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-21 Gilles Rebelles

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

We begin by introducing a class of conditional density estimators based on local polynomial techniques. The estimators are boundary adaptive and easy to implement. We then study the (pointwise and) uniform statistical properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

We estimate the support of a uniform density, when it is assumed to be a convex polytope or, more generally, a convex body in $\R^d$. In the polytopal case, we construct an estimator achieving a rate which does not depend on the dimension…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-26 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

The estimation of a density profile from experimental data points is a challenging problem, usually tackled by plotting a histogram. Prior assumptions on the nature of the density, from its smoothness to the specification of its form, allow…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Alberto Bernacchia , Simone Pigolotti

We show that the cumulative distribution function corresponding to a kernel density estimator with optimal bandwidth lies outside any confidence interval, around the empirical distribution function, with probability tending to 1 as the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-17 Nils Lid Hjort , Stephen G. Walker

We consider the problem of predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model with exact sparsity constraints on the location parameters. We study the first order asymptotic minimax risk of Bayes…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-24 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Gourab Mukherjee