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We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

We look into the nonparametric regression estimation with additive and multiplicative noise and construct adaptive thresholding estimators based on Laguerre series. The proposed approach achieves asymptotically near-optimal convergence…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-23 Rida Benhaddou

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

Gaussian distributions are widely used in Bayesian variational inference to approximate intractable posterior densities, but the ability to accommodate skewness can improve approximation accuracy significantly, when data or prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Linda S. L. Tan , Aoxiang Chen

We consider a nonparametric regression model $Y=r(X)+\varepsilon$ with a random covariate $X$ that is independent of the error $\varepsilon$. Then the density of the response $Y$ is a convolution of the densities of $\varepsilon$ and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-18 Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

Sampling is an important tool for estimating large, complex sums and integrals over high dimensional spaces. For instance, important sampling has been used as an alternative to exact methods for inference in belief networks. Ideally, we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Luis E. Ortiz , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Probability mass curves the data space with horizons. Let f be a multivariate probability density function with continuous second order partial derivatives. Consider the problem of estimating the true value of f(z) > 0 at a single point z,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-06 Carlos C. Rodriguez

Regression on manifolds, and, more broadly, statistics on manifolds, has garnered significant importance in recent years due to the vast number of applications for non Euclidean data. Circular data is a classic example, but so is data in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Fabrice Gamboa , Leonardo Moreno

A large class of problems in sciences and engineering can be formulated as the general problem of constructing random intervals with pre-specified coverage probabilities for the mean. Wee propose a general approach for statistical inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-11 Xinjia Chen

This article deals with adaptive nonparametric estimation for L\'evy processes observed at low frequency. For general linear functionals of the L\'evy measure, we construct kernel estimators, provide upper risk bounds and derive rates of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus

We derive the exponential non improvable Grand Lebesgue Space norm decreasing estimations for tail of distribution for exact normed deviation for the famous recursive Wolverton-Wagner multivariate statistical density estimation. We consider…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-17 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the fractional derivative of unknown spectral function of Gaussian stationary sequence (time series) and show that these problems is well posed with the classical speed of convergence when…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

A prediction interval covers a future observation from a random process in repeated sampling, and is typically constructed by identifying a pivotal quantity that is also an ancillary statistic. Analogously, a tolerance interval covers a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Geoffrey S Johnson

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

We consider the problem of linear fitting of noisy data in the case of broad (say $\alpha$-stable) distributions of random impacts ("noise"), which can lack even the first moment. This situation, common in statistical physics of small…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-27 Eugene B. Postnikov , Igor M. Sokolov

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guaranties for regression; yet existing methods assume Euclidean output spaces and produce prediction regions that are poorly calibrated when responses lie on Riemannian manifolds. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri

Predicting the response at an unobserved location is a fundamental problem in spatial statistics. Given the difficulty in modeling spatial dependence, especially in non-stationary cases, model-based prediction intervals are at risk of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Huiying Mao , Ryan Martin , Brian Reich

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

The authors consider the problem of estimating the density $g$ of independent and identically distributed variables $X\_i$, from a sample $Z\_1, ..., Z\_n$ where $Z\_i=X\_i+\sigma\epsilon\_i$, $i=1, ..., n$, $\epsilon$ is a noise…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-11 Fabienne Comte , Yves Rozenholc , Marie-Luce Taupin