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Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Universal compression algorithms have been studied in the past for sequential change detection, where they have been used to estimate the post-change distribution in the modified version of the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) Test. In this paper, we…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-12-15 Vikrant Malik , R. K. Bansal

In traditional logistic regression models, the link function is often assumed to be linear and continuous in predictors. Here, we consider a threshold model that all continuous features are discretized into ordinal levels, which further…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Yinan Lin , Wen Zhou , Zhi Geng , Gexin Xiao , Jianxin Yin

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a vital step in using mathematical models and simulations to take decisions. The field of cardiac simulation has begun to explore and adopt UQ methods to characterise uncertainty in model inputs and how…

We investigate the large-sample behavior of change-point tests based on weighted two-sample U-statistics, in the case of short-range dependent data. Under some mild mixing conditions, we establish convergence of the test statistic to an…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-04 Herold Dehling , Kata Vuk , Martin Wendler

We introduce a class of distributed nonlinear control systems, termed as the flow-tracker dynamics, which capture phenomena where the average state is controlled by the average control input, with no individual agent has direct access to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-09 Behrouz Touri , Bahman Gharesifard

This article explores various uncertain control co-design (UCCD) problem formulations. While previous work offers formulations that are method-dependent and limited to only a handful of uncertainties (often from one discipline), effective…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-21 Saeed Azad , Daniel R. Herber

Diffusion models have achieved huge empirical success in data generation tasks. Recently, some efforts have been made to adapt the framework of diffusion models to discrete state space, providing a more natural approach for modeling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Hongrui Chen , Lexing Ying

In this paper, we study change-point testing for high-dimensional linear models, an important problem that has not been well explored in the literature. Specifically, we propose a quadratic-form cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic to test the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-23 Zifeng Zhao , Xiaokai Luo , Zongge Liu , Daren Wang

The inference of an underlying network topology from local observations of a complex system composed of interacting units is usually attempted by using statistical similarity measures, such as Cross-Correlation (CC) and Mutual Information…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-09-03 Nicolás Rubido , Arturo C. Martí , Ezequiel Bianco-Martínez , Celso Grebogi , Murilo S. Baptista , Cristina Masoller

Edgeworth-type expansions for convolutions of probability densities and powers of the characteristic functions with non-uniform error terms are established for i.i.d. random variables with finite (fractional) moments of order $s \geq 2$,…

概率论 · 数学 2011-04-20 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

An algorithm for perfect simulation from the unique solution of the distributional fixed point equation $Y=_d UY + U(1-U)$ is constructed, where $Y$ and $U$ are independent and $U$ is uniformly distributed on $[0,1]$. This distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-31 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

The cutoff phenomenon, conceptualized at the origin for finite Markov chains, states that for a parametric family of evolution equations, started from a point, the distance towards a long time equilibrium may become more and more abrupt for…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-03-18 Djalil Chafaï , Max Fathi , Nikita Simonov

We analyze the (unconditional) distribution of a linear predictor that is constructed after a data-driven model selection step in a linear regression model. First, we derive the exact finite-sample cumulative distribution function (cdf) of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-02 Hannes Leeb

Single-pass uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for classification represent uncertainty by predicting a tractable distribution over the class probability vector. While existing approaches primarily focus on enhancing the expressiveness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Taeseong Yoon , Heeyoung Kim

U-statistics play central roles in many statistical learning tools but face the haunting issue of scalability. Significant efforts have been devoted into accelerating computation by U-statistic reduction. However, existing results almost…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-07 Meijia Shao , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang

We propose a new class of universal amplitude ratios which involve the first terms of the short distance expansion of the correlators of a statistical model in the vicinity of a critical point. We will describe the critical system with a…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-12-10 M. Caselle , P. Grinza , R. Guida , N. Magnoli

Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , S. Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

Suppose $(f,\mathcal{X},\mu)$ is a measure preserving dynamical system and $\phi \colon \mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R}$ a measurable function. Consider the maximum process $M_n:=\max\{X_1 \ldots,X_n\}$, where $X_i=\phi\circ f^{i-1}$ is a time…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-09-15 Mark Holland , Maxim Kirsebom , Philipp Kunde , Tomas Persson