相关论文: Poisson calculus for spatial neutral to the right …

This paper introduces a general and principled construction of model space priors with a focus on regression problems. The proposed formulation regards each model as a `local` null hypothesis whose alternatives are the set of models that…

Choquet theorems (1954) on integral representation for capacities are fundamental to probability theory. They inspired a growing body of research into different approaches and generalizations of Choquet's results by many other researchers.…

We present an algorithm for arc reversal in Bayesian networks with tree-structured conditional probability tables, and consider some of its advantages, especially for the simulation of dynamic probabilistic networks. In particular, the…

Poisson distributed measurements in inverse problems often stem from Poisson point processes that are observed through discretized or finite-resolution detectors, one of the most prominent examples being positron emission tomography (PET).…

Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Tensor decompositions play a crucial role in numerous applications related to multi-way data analysis. By employing a Bayesian framework with sparsity-inducing priors, Bayesian Tensor Ring (BTR) factorization offers probabilistic estimates…

The paper characterizes the Shannon (1948) and Tsallis (1988) entropies in a standard framework of decision theory, mixture sets. Procedural mixture sets are introduced as a variant of mixture sets in which it is not necessarily true that a…

We develop a natural Bayesian multiplicity-correcting prior distribution within the probabilistic forward stepwise representation of model space priors for regression problems. The proposed prior, obtained from making an analogy to the Holm…

We give a general framework for approximations to combinatorial assemblies, especially suitable to the situation where the number $k$ of components is specified, in addition to the overall size $n$. This involves a Poisson process, which,…

Discrete random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce are key tools for addressing a variety of estimation and prediction problems in Bayesian inference. Indeed, many popular nonparametric priors, such as…

We apply Tsallis's q-indexed entropy to formulate a non-extensive random matrix theory (RMT), which may be suitable for systems with mixed regular-chaotic dynamics. The joint distribution of the matrix elements is given by folding the…

There is a growing interest in the estimation of the number of unseen features, mostly driven by biological applications. A recent work brought out a peculiar property of the popular completely random measures (CRMs) as prior models in…

Human decision-making is sequential and uncertainty-aware, yet standard neural networks often rely on static, dense forward computation with limited visibility into evidence acquisition, uncertainty evolution, or when computation should…

We consider priors for several nonparametric Bayesian models which use finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

Wide neural networks with random weights and biases are Gaussian processes, as originally observed by Neal (1995) and more recently by Lee et al. (2018) and Matthews et al. (2018) for deep fully-connected networks, as well as by Novak et…

By randomly removing a fraction of levels from a given spectrum a model is constructed that describes a crossover from this spectrum to a Poisson spectrum. The formalism is applied to the transitions towards Poisson from random matrix…

The neutron transport equation (NTE) describes the flux of neutrons across a planar cross-section in an inhomogeneous fissile medium when the process of nuclear fission is active. Classical work on the NTE emerges from the applied…

A Neyman-Scott process is a special case of a Cox process. The latent and observable stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott process in this paper, for which the building components of a network are…

We present a novel Bayesian framework for inverse problems in which the pos terior distribution is interpreted as the intensity measure of a Poisson point process (PPP). The posterior density is approximated using kernel density estimation,…