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Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are invaluable tools for exploring stationary properties of physical systems, especially in situations where direct sampling is unfeasible. Common implementations of Monte Carlo algorithms employ…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-27 Marija Vucelja

This paper considers the optimal control of time varying continuous time Markov chains whose transition rates are themselves Markov processes. In one set of problems the solution of an ordinary differential equation is shown to determine…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-09-02 Manish Gupta

The analysis of parametrised systems is a growing field in verification, but the analysis of parametrised probabilistic systems is still in its infancy. This is partly because it is much harder: while there are beautiful cut-off results for…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-04-06 Paul Gainer , Ernst Moritz Hahn , Sven Schewe

This work focuses on time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with two time scales. Our motivations stem from applications in reliability and dependability, queueing networks, financial engineering and manufacturing systems, where two-time-scale…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 George Yin , Hanqin Zhang

In this article, we prove that a small random perturbation of dynamical system with multiple stable equilibria converges to a Markov chain whose states are neighborhoods of the deepest stable equilibria, under a suitable time-rescaling,…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-02 Fraydoun Rezakhanlou , Insuk Seo

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

Motivated by reduction of computational complexity, this work develops sign-error adaptive filtering algorithms for estimating time-varying system parameters. Different from the previous work on sign-error algorithms, the parameters are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-17 Araz Hashemi , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang

The master equation and, more generally, Markov processes are routinely used as models for stochastic processes. They are often justified on the basis of randomization and coarse-graining assumptions. Here instead, we derive n-th order…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-09-27 Julian Lee , Steve Pressé

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a widely-used technique for generating a dependent sequence of samples from complex distributions. Conventionally, these methods require a source of independent random variates. Most implementations use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-04-17 Iain Murray , Lloyd T. Elliott

We investigate the convergence to (quasi--)equilibrium of a density dependent Markov chain in~${\mathbb Z}^d$, whose drift satisfies a system of ordinary differential equations having an attractive fixed point. For a sequence of such…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-21 Andrew Barbour , Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-31 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

A new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, based on simulating piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs), have recently shown great promise: they are non-reversible, can mix better than standard MCMC algorithms, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Augustin Chevallier , Paul Fearnhead , Matthew Sutton

We present an algorithm that can efficiently compute a broad class of inferences for discrete-time imprecise Markov chains, a generalised type of Markov chains that allows one to take into account partially specified probabilities and other…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-02 Natan T'Joens , Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

In this note we consider a Markov chain formed by a finite system of interacting birth-and-death processes on a finite state space. We study an asymptotic behaviour of the Markov chain as its state space becomes large. In particular, we…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-14 Vadim Shcherbakov , Anatoly Yambartsev

In this paper, we consider a modified version of a well-known submartingale condition fortheweak convergence of probabilitymeasures, adapted to the semi-Markov case. In this setting, it is convenient to work with an embedded Markov chain…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Vitaliy Golomoziy

The Markov chain approximation of a one-dimensional symmetric diffusion is investigated in this paper. Given an irreducible reflecting diffusion on a closed interval with scale function $s$ and speed measure $m$, the approximating Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-16 Xiaodan Li , Jiangang Ying

We study the quenched invariance principle for random conductance models with long range jumps on $\Z^d$, where the transition probability from $x$ to $y$ is, on average, comparable to $|x-y|^{-(d+\alpha)}$ with $\alpha\in (0,2)$ but is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-01 Xin Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

We consider Markov chains on general state spaces in stationary random environment which are defined by a random mapping that is contractive up to a bounded perturbation. We prove their convergence to a limiting law, providing convergence…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-18 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi , Lionel Truquet