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We prove a functional limit theorem for Markov chains that, in each step, move up or down by a possibly state dependent constant with probability $1/2$, respectively. The theorem entails that the law of every one-dimensional regular…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-13 Stefan Ankirchner , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

We present a spectral-theoretic approach to time-average statistical mechanics for general, non-equilibrium initial conditions. We consider the statistics of bounded, local additive functionals of reversible as well as irreversible ergodic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-10-21 Alessio Lapolla , David Hartich , Aljaž Godec

We provide a condition for f-ergodicity of strong Markov processes at a subgeometric rate. This condition is couched in terms of a supermartingale property for a functional of the Markov process. Equivalent formulations in terms of a drift…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Gersende Fort , Arnaud Guillin

We establish a new class of functional central limit theorems for partial sum of certain symmetric stationary infinitely divisible processes with regularly varying L\'{e}vy measures. The limit process is a new class of symmetric stable…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-16 Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We establish convergence in norm and pointwise almost everywhere for the non-conventional (in the sense of Furstenberg) bilinear polynomial ergodic averages \[ A_N(f,g)(x) := \frac{1}{N} \sum_{n =1}^N f(T^nx) g(T^{P(n)}x)\] as $N \to…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-01-24 Ben Krause , Mariusz Mirek , Terence Tao

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

We prove quenched versions of (i) a large deviations principle (LDP), (ii) a central limit theorem (CLT), and (iii) a local central limit theorem (LCLT) for non-autonomous dynamical systems. A key advance is the extension of the spectral…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-02-14 Davor Dragicevic , Gary Froyland , Cecilia Gonzalez-Tokman , Sandro Vaienti

We establish mean convergence for multiple ergodic averages with iterates given by distinct fractional powers of primes and related multiple recurrence results. A consequence of our main result is that every set of integers with positive…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-05-19 Nikos Frantzikinakis

The normalised partial sums of values of a nonnegative multiplicative function over divisors with appropriately restricted sizes of a random permutation from the symmetric group define trajectories of a stochastic process. We prove a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Eugenijus Manstavičius

In this paper, we study the averaging principle and central limit theorem for multi-scale stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching. To accomplish this, we first study the Poisson equation associated with a Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-19 Xiaobin Sun , Yingchao Xie

Mean-field models approximate large stochastic systems by simpler differential equations that are supposed to approximate the mean of the larger system. It is generally assumed that as the stochastic systems get larger (i.e., more people or…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-01 Benjamin Armbruster

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

Let $(X_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable state space $X$, and let $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n f(X_k)$ be the associated Markov walk. For $y>0$, denote by $\tau_y$ the first time at which $y+S_n$ becomes non-positive. Assuming that the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-19 Yunfan Zhao , Xiaojing Chen

For ${1/2}<\alpha<1$, we propose the MDP analysis for family $$ S^\alpha_n=\frac{1}{n^\alpha}\sum_{i=1}^nH(X_{i-1}), n\ge 1, $$ where $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ be a homogeneous ergodic Markov chain, $X_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$, when the spectrum of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 B. Delyon , A. Juditsky , R. Liptser

In earlier papers Poisson equation in the whole space was studied for so called ergodic generators $L$ corresponding to homogeneous Markov diffusions ($X_t, \, t\ge 0$) in $\mathbb R^d$. Solving this equation is one of the main tools for…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-30 Alexander Veretennikov

This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-14 Hiroki Masuda

In this note we identify the distributional limits of non-negative, ergodic stationary processes, showing that all are possible. Consequences for infinite ergodic theory are also explored and new examples of distributionally stable- and…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-14 Jon. Aaronson , Benjamin Weiss

We establish verifiable general sufficient conditions for exponential or subexponential ergodicity of Markov processes that may lack the strong Feller property. We apply the obtained results to show exponential ergodicity of a variety of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-27 Oleg Butkovsky , Alexei Kulik , Michael Scheutzow

We present a general functional central limit theorem started at a point also known under the name of quenched. As a consequence, we point out several new classes of stationary processes, defined via projection conditions, which satisfy…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-19 David Barrera , Costel Peligrad , Magda Peligrad