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We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-22 Ruijun Bu , Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Hanchao Wang

This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Wenyu Li , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-26 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Yuliya Mishura

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-12 Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

Given a sample from a discretely observed L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density $\rho$ corresponding to the process $X$ is studied. An estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

We develop a stochastic volatility framework for modeling multiple currencies based on CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes. The proposed framework captures the typical risk characteristics of FX markets and is coherent with the symmetries of…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-06-11 Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto , Guillaume Szulda

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Scattering moments provide nonparametric models of random processes with stationary increments. They are expected values of random variables computed with a nonexpansive operator, obtained by iteratively applying wavelet transforms and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

Simulating a Gaussian process requires sampling from a high-dimensional Gaussian distribution, which scales cubically with the number of sample locations. Spectral methods address this challenge by exploiting the Fourier representation,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Arsalan Jawaid , Abdullah Karatas , Jörg Seewig

We discuss the probabilistic properties of the variation based third and fourth moments of financial returns as estimators of the actual moments of the return distributions. The moment variations are defined under non-parametric assumptions…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-15 Kyungsub Lee

Nonparametric methods for the estimation of the Levy density of a Levy process are developed. Estimators that can be written in terms of the ``jumps'' of the process are introduced, and so are discrete-data based approximations. A model…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Enrique Figueroa-Lopez , Christian Houdre

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility function of a stochastic differential equation driven by a gamma process. The volatility function is modelled a priori as piecewise constant, and we specify a gamma…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-18 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

We generally study the density of eigenvalues in unitary ensembles of random matrices from the recurrence coefficients with regularly varying conditions for the orthogonal polynomials. First we calculate directly the moments of the density.…

数学物理 · 物理学 2008-10-31 Dang-Zheng Liu , Zheng-Dong Wang , Kui-Hua Yan

We propose the use of indirect inference estimation to conduct inference in complex locally stationary models. We develop a local indirect inference algorithm and establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Due to the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-17 David Frazier , Bonsoo Koo

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

Autocovariance of the error term in a time series model plays a key role in the estimation and inference for the model that it belongs to. Typically, some arbitrary parametric structure is assumed upon the error to simplify the estimation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Yoon Bae Jun , Chae Young Lim , Kun Ho Kim