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Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

This paper presents a comprehensive review of stochastic processes, with a particular focus on Markov chains and jump processes. The main results related to queuing systems are analyzed. Additionally, conditions that ensure the stability,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-30 Carlos E. Martínez-Rodríguez

Given a stochastic structure with a filtration $\mathbb{F}$, the class of all random times whose conditional distribution functions are differentiable with respect to some $\mathbb{F}$ adapted non decreasing processes is considered. The…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-20 Shiqi Song

Interactive Markov chains (IMC) are compositional behavioural models extending labelled transition systems and continuous-time Markov chains. We provide a framework and algorithms for compositional verification and optimization of IMC with…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2013-12-05 Holger Hermanns , Jan Krčál , Jan Křetínský

We develop a predictive-first optimisation framework for streaming hidden Markov models. Unlike classical approaches that prioritise full posterior recovery under a fully specified generative model, we assume access to regime-specific…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Gerardo Duran-Martin

This paper describes the conversion of a Hidden Markov Model into a finite state transducer that closely approximates the behavior of the stochastic model. In some cases the transducer is equivalent to the HMM. This conversion is especially…

cmp-lg · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Andre Kempe

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-10-27 Vitaly Vanchurin

Markov matrices have an important role in the filed of stochastic processes. In this paper, we will show and prove a series of conclusions on Markov matrices and transformations rather than pay attention to stochastic processes although…

环与代数 · 数学 2023-01-02 Chengshen Xu

We consider multiscale stochastic systems that are partially observed at discrete points of the slow time scale. We introduce a particle filter that takes advantage of the multiscale structure of the system to efficiently approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2007-10-29 Anastasia Papavasiliou

The paper is devoted to synthesis of recurrent algorithms for detection of stochastic signals given in state space. The structure of the algorithms synthesized is shown to be close to that of the Kalman filter. Analysis of one of the…

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

We build on a previous statistical model for distributed systems and formulate it in a way that the deterministic and stochastic processes within the system are clearly separable. We show how internal fluctuations can be analysed in a…

adap-org · 物理学 2009-10-22 Iqbal Adjali , José-Luis Fernández-Villacañas , Michael Gell

We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models under partially observable Poisson processes. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-05-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Mike Ludkovski

We consider the filtering problem of estimating a hidden random variable $X$ by noisy observations. The noisy observation process is constructed by a randomised Markov bridge (RMB) $(Z_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ of which terminal value is set to…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-17 Andrea Macrina , Jun Sekine

This work is devoted to the almost sure stabilization of adaptive control systems that involve an unknown Markov chain. The control system displays continuous dynamics represented by differential equations and discrete events given by a…

概率论 · 数学 2008-07-10 Bernard Bercu , Francois Dufour , G. George Yin

We introduce an extension of finite mixture models by incorporating skew-normal distributions within a Hidden Markov Model framework. By assuming a constant transition probability matrix and allowing emission distributions to vary according…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Andrea Nigri , Marco Forti , Han Lin Shang

This paper introduces a methodology for identifying and simulating financial and economic systems using stochastically structured reservoir computers (SSRCs). The framework combines structure-preserving embeddings with graph-informed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-20 Lendy Banegas , Fredy Vides

The problem of ranking is a multi-billion dollar problem. In this paper we present an overview of several production quality ranking systems. We show that due to conflicting goals of employing the most effective machine learning models and…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-07-30 Murium Iqbal , Nishan Subedi , Kamelia Aryafar

Starting from a Markov chain with a finite alphabet, we consider the chain obtained when all but one symbol are undistinguishable for the practitioner. We study necessary and sufficient conditions for this chain to have continuous…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-23 Walter A. F. de Carvalho , Sandro Gallo , Nancy L. Garcia