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The problem of defining quantum probabilities of composite events is considered. This problem is of high importance for the theory of quantum measurements and for quantum decision theory that is a part of measurement theory. We show that…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-06-17 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

Methods for probability updating, of which Bayesian conditionalization is the most well-known and widely used, are modeling tools that aim to represent the process of modifying an initial epistemic state, typically represented by a prior…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Tommaso Flaminio , Lluis Godo , Gluliano Rosella

In this article we provide a substantial discussion on the statistical concept of conditional independence, which is not routinely mentioned in most elementary statistics and mathematical statistics textbooks. Under the assumption of…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Jun Hu , Xianggui Qu

This paper presents a categorical account of conditional probability, covering both the classical and the quantum case. Classical conditional probabilities are expressed as a certain "triangle-fill-in" condition, connecting marginal and…

范畴论 · 数学 2015-11-06 Robert Furber , Bart Jacobs

A new method is developed to represent probabilistic relations on multiple random events. Where previously knowledge bases containing probabilistic rules were used for this purpose, here a probability distribution over the relations is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Manfred Jaeger

We show that including both the system and the apparatus in the quantum description of the measurement process, and using the concept of conditional probabilities, it is possible to deduce the statistical operator of the system after a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2008-11-29 R. Laura , L. Vanni

In this chapter, we review a principled way of defining and measuring contextuality in systems with deterministic inputs and random outputs, recently proposed and developed in \citep{KujalaDzhafarovLarsson2015,DKL2015FooP}.

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-12-02 Janne V. Kujala , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

The conditionality principle $C$ plays a key role in attempts to characterize the concept of statistical evidence. The standard version of $C$ considers a model and a derived conditional model, formed by conditioning on an ancillary…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-22 Michael Evans , Constantine Frangakis

Models of a phenomenon are often developed by examining it under different experimental conditions, or measurement contexts. The resultant probabilistic models assume that the underlying random variables, which define a measurable set of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-02-05 Peter D. Bruza

This paper is a brief overview of the concepts involved in measuring the degree of contextuality and detecting contextuality in systems of binary measurements of a finite number of objects. We discuss and clarify the main concepts and…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-01-21 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala , Victor H. Cervantes

The process of doing Science in condition of uncertainty is illustrated with a toy experiment in which the inferential and the forecasting aspects are both present. The fundamental aspects of probabilistic reasoning, also relevant in real…

历史与综述 · 数学 2018-02-07 Giulio D'Agostini

We derive new upper and lower bounds for probabilities that $r$ or at least $r$ from $n$ events occur. These bounds can turn to equalities. The method is discussed as well. It works for measurable space and measures with sign, too. We also…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-12 Andrei N. Frolov

In this paper, we derive a notion of 'word meaning in context' that characterizes meaning as both intensional and conceptual. We introduce a framework for specifying local as well as global constraints on word meaning in context, together…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Katrin Erk , Aurelie Herbelot

From behavioral sciences to biology to quantum mechanics, one encounters situations where (i) a system outputs several random variables in response to several inputs, (ii) for each of these responses only some of the inputs may "directly"…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-01 E. N. Dzhafarov , J. V. Kujala

Conditional acceptability refers to how plausible a conditional statement is perceived to be. It plays an important role in communication and reasoning, as it influences how individuals interpret implications, assess arguments, and make…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Jasmin Orth , Philipp Mondorf , Barbara Plank

We use the machinery of a conditional probability space (R\'enyi, 1955) to obtain an Agreement Theorem (Aumann, 1976) under general conditions. A conditional probability space (CPS) is a family of probability measures defined relative to a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-29 Erya Yang , Adam Brandenburger

In quantum mechanics, not everything that can be observed can be observed simultaneously. Observational data exhibits \emph{contextuality} -- a generalisation of nonlocality -- if the result of an observation is necessarily dependent on…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Ask Ellingsen

Quantization for a Borel probability measure refers to the idea of estimating a given probability by a discrete probability with support containing a finite number of elements. If in the quantization some of the elements in the support are…

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

The density operator of a quantum state can be represented as a complex joint probability of any two observables whose eigenstates have non-zero mutual overlap. Transformations to a new basis set are then expressed in terms of complex…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-04-26 Holger F. Hofmann