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Probabilities may be subjective or objective; we are concerned with both kinds of probability, and the relationship between them. The fundamental theory of objective probability is quantum mechanics: it is argued that neither Bohr's…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Simon Saunders

A very simple example demonstrates that Fisher's application of the conditionality principle to regression ("fixed-$x$ regression"), endorsed by Sprott and many other followers, makes prediction impossible in the context of statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-11 Vladimir Vovk

There is wide support in logic, philosophy, and psychology for the hypothesis that the probability of the indicative conditional of natural language, $P(\textit{if } A \textit{ then } B)$, is the conditional probability of $B$ given $A$,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-13 Giuseppe Sanfilippo , Niki Pfeifer , David E. Over , Angelo Gilio

This article examines the subtle relationship between chaos and randomness, two concepts that, although they refer to seemingly unpredictable phenomenon, are based on fundamentally different principles. Chaos manifests in deterministic…

Conditional independence, and more generally conditional mutual independence, are central notions in probability theory. In their general forms, they include functional dependence as a special case. In this paper, we tackle two fundamental…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-24 Laigang Guo , Raymond W. Yeung , Tao Guo

In a series of essays, beginning with this article, we are going to develop a new formulation of micro-phenomena based on the principles of reality and causality. The new theory provides with us a new depiction of micro-phenomena assuming…

量子物理 · 物理学 2011-07-21 Afshin Shafiee

This is a non-technical introduction into theory of contextuality. More precisely, it presents the basics of a theory of contextuality called Contextuality-by-Default (CbD). One of the main tenets of CbD is that the identity of a random…

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-13 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

In this work we first propose to exploit the fundamental properties of quantum physics to evaluate the probability of events with projection measurements. Next, to study what events can be specified by quantum methods, we introduce the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-11-18 Zixuan Hu , Sabre Kais

It is possible to completely explain all aspects of quantum mechanics by expressing the relations between physical properties in terms of complex conditional probabilities (Phys. Rev. A 89, 042115(2014)). These fully deterministic…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-05-02 Holger F. Hofmann

The concept of typicality refers to properties holding for the "overwhelming majority" of cases and is a fundamental idea of the qualitative approach to dynamical problems. We argue that measure-theoretical typicality would be the adequate…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Sergio B. Volchan

The paper outlines a new development in the Contextuality-by-Default theory as applied to finite systems of binary random variables. The logic and principles of the original theory remain unchanged, but the definition of contextuality of a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-10-26 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

Non-classical probability (along with its underlying logic) is a defining feature of quantum mechanics. A formulation that incorporates them, inherently and directly, would promise a unified description of seemingly different prescriptions…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-05-21 Soumik Adhikary , Sooryansh Asthana , V. Ravishankar

A general notion of algebraic conditional plausibility measures is defined. Probability measures, ranking functions, possibility measures, and (under the appropriate definitions) sets of probability measures can all be viewed as defining…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern

This paper is motivated by the questions of how to give the concept of probability an adequate real-world meaning, and how to explain a certain type of phenomenon that can be found, for instance, in Ellsberg's paradox. It attempts to answer…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Russell J. Bowater

A general notion of algebraic conditional plausibility measures is defined. Probability measures, ranking functions, possibility measures, and (under the appropriate definitions) sets of probability measures can all be viewed as defining…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-16 Joseph Y. Halpern

Abstract Contextuality is a property of systems of random variables. The identity of a random variable in a system is determined by its joint distribution with all other random variables in the same context. When context changes, a variable…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-11-23 Ehtibar Dzhafarov

Causality imposes strong restrictions on the type of operators that may be observables in relativistic quantum theories. In fact, causal violations arise when computing conditional probabilities for certain partial causally connected…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Rodolfo Gambini , Rafael A. Porto

Possibilistic conditional independence is investigated: we propose a definition of this notion similar to the one used in probability theory. The links between independence and non-interactivity are investigated, and properties of these…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Pascale Fonck

Most of the stochastic orders for comparing random variables, considered in the literature, are afflicted with two main drawbacks: (i) lack of connex property and (ii) lack of consideration of any dependence structure between the random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-03 Sugata Ghosh , Asok K. Nanda