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This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

We study the long-term behavior of the iteration of a random map consisting of Lipschitz transformations on a compact metric space, independently and randomly selected according to a fixed probability measure. Such a random map is said to…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-05-06 Pablo G. Barrientos , Dominique Malicet

We propose an extension of Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (MS-GAMLSS) that allows covariates to influence not only the parameters of the state-dependent distributions but also the state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-08 Katharina Ammann , Timo Adam , Jan-Ole Koslik

A discrete Gelfand-Tsetlin pattern is a configuration of particles in Z^2. The particles are arranged in a finite number of consecutive rows, numbered from the bottom. There is one particle on the first row, two particles on the second row,…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-24 Erik Duse , Anthony Metcalfe

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

This paper discusses the properties of certain risk estimators recently proposed to choose regularization parameters in ill-posed problems. A simple approach is Stein's unbiased risk estimator (SURE), which estimates the risk in the data…

We study the behaviour of differential forms in a manifold having at least one of their maximal isotropic local distributions endowed with the special algebraic property of being decomposable. We show that they can be represented as the sum…

微分几何 · 数学 2009-09-07 Leandro G. Gomes

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. We establish robust exponential convergence of the combined estimation error subject to process…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-25 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

We show that a family of topological twists of a supersymmetric mechanics with a K\"ahler target exhibits a Batalin--Vilkovisky quantization. Using this observation we make a general proposal for the Hilbert space of states after a…

数学物理 · 物理学 2023-08-02 Pavel Safronov , Brian R. Williams

Evaluating accessible conformational space is computationally expensive and thermal motions are partly neglected in computer models of molecular interactions. This produces error into the estimates of binding strength. We introduce a method…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-12-13 Riku Hakulinen , Santeri Puranen

On any denumerable product of probability spaces, we construct a Malliavin gradient and then a divergence and a number operator. This yields a Dirichlet structure which can be shown to approach the usual structures for Poisson and Brownian…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-30 Laurent Decreusefond , Hélène Halconruy

This paper discusses some problems possibly arising when approximating via Monte-Carlo simulations the distributions of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on the empirical distribution function. We argue that failing to re-estimate…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-04-01 Marco Capasso , Lucia Alessi , Matteo Barigozzi , Giorgio Fagiolo

For a qualitative analysis of spectra of certain two-dimensional rectangular-well quantum systems several rigorous methods of number theory are shown productive and useful. These methods (and, in particular, a generalization of the concept…

数学物理 · 物理学 2017-05-04 Edita Pelantová , Štěpán Starosta , Miloslav Znojil

To achieve a maximal locality in a trivial field theory, we maximize the ultraviolet cutoff of the theory by fine tuning the infrared values of the parameters. This optimization procedure is applied to the scalar theory in $D+1$ dimensions…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Jisuke Kubo , Masanori Nunami

We review a number a recent advances in the study of two-dimensional statistical models with strong geometrical constraints. These include folding problems of regular and random lattices as well as the famous meander problem of enumerating…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 P. Di Francesco , E. Guitter

Many common loss functions such as mean-squared-error, cross-entropy, and reconstruction loss are unnecessarily rigid. Under a probabilistic interpretation, these common losses correspond to distributions with fixed shapes and scales. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-05 Mark Hamilton , Evan Shelhamer , William T. Freeman

Using a mapping between spatial disorder and temporal stochasticity, we develop a new framework using Lyapunov exponents to explain exotic wave localization and mobility phenomena in disordered one-dimensional (1D) mechanical systems that…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2025-11-13 Will Stephenson , Nan Cheng , Kai Sun , Xiaoming Mao

Orthogonal projections of the uniform measure on the Sierpinski triangle form a family of self similar measures with overlaps. The main result of this work is to make a connection between the dimension theory of these measures and the…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-04-02 Peej Ingarfield

We derive the stationary probability distribution for a non-equilibrium system composed by an arbitrary number of degrees of freedom that are subject to Gaussian colored noise and a conservative potential. This is based on a…

A defining feature of non-stationary systems is the time dependence of their statistical parameters. Measured time series may exhibit Gaussian statistics on short time horizons, due to the central limit theorem. The sample statistics for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-10-08 Rudi Schäfer , Sonja Barkhofen , Thomas Guhr , Hans-Jürgen Stöckmann , Ulrich Kuhl
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