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The assessment of binary classifier performance traditionally centers on discriminative ability using metrics, such as accuracy. However, these metrics often disregard the model's inherent uncertainty, especially when dealing with sensitive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Agathe Fernandes Machado , Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic , François Hu

Enabled and driven by modern advances in wireless telecommunication and artificial intelligence, the convergence of communication, computing, and control is becoming inevitable in future industrial applications. Analytical and optimizing…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-07 Bin Han , Hans D. Schotten

Calibration parameters in deterministic computer experiments are those attributes that cannot be measured or available in physical experiments. Kennedy and O'Hagan \cite{kennedy2001bayesian} suggested an approach to estimate them by using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-31 Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Accurately predicting the probabilities of user feedback, such as clicks and conversions, is critical for advertisement ranking and bidding. However, there often exist unwanted mismatches between predicted probabilities and true likelihoods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Yuang Zhao , Chuhan Wu , Qinglin Jia , Hong Zhu , Jia Yan , Libin Zong , Linxuan Zhang , Zhenhua Dong , Muyu Zhang

Computer models are commonly used to represent a wide range of real systems, but they often involve some unknown parameters. Estimating the parameters by collecting physical data becomes essential in many scientific fields, ranging from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Chih-Li Sung , Beau David Barber , Berkley J. Walker

Conformal prediction equips machine learning models with a reasonable notion of uncertainty quantification without making strong distributional assumptions. It wraps around any prediction model and converts point predictions into set…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

Online camera-to-ground calibration is to generate a non-rigid body transformation between the camera and the road surface in a real-time manner. Existing solutions utilize static calibration, suffering from environmental variations such as…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-04-03 Binbin Li , Xinyu Du , Yao Hu , Hao Yu , Wende Zhang

Making calibrated online predictions is a central challenge in modern AI systems. Much of the existing literature focuses on fully adversarial environments where outcomes may be arbitrary, leading to conservative algorithms that can perform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Junyan Liu , Haipeng Luo , Lillian J. Ratliff

We study mechanism design when a designer repeatedly uses a fixed mechanism to interact with strategic agents who learn from observing their allocations. We introduce a static framework, calibrated mechanism design, requiring mechanisms to…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-19 Laura Doval , Alex Smolin

Calibration is a frequently invoked concept when useful label probability estimates are required on top of classification accuracy. A calibrated model is a function whose values correctly reflect underlying label probabilities. Calibration…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Alireza Torabian , Ruth Urner

We consider detection and localization of an abrupt break in the covariance structure of high-dimensional random data. The paper proposes a novel testing procedure for this problem. Due to its nature, the approach requires a properly chosen…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-16 Valeriy Avanesov

In many applications, it is desirable that a classifier not only makes accurate predictions, but also outputs calibrated posterior probabilities. However, many existing classifiers, especially deep neural network classifiers, tend to be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-24 Xingchen Ma , Matthew B. Blaschko

Online conformal prediction enables the runtime calibration of a pre-trained artificial intelligence model using feedback on its performance. Calibration is achieved through set predictions that are updated via online rules so as to ensure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Bowen Wang , Matteo Zecchin , Osvaldo Simeone

Calibration is crucial in deep learning applications, especially in fields like healthcare and autonomous driving, where accurate confidence estimates are vital for decision-making. However, deep neural networks often suffer from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Linwei Tao , Haolan Guo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

We introduce the notion of heterogeneous calibration that applies a post-hoc model-agnostic transformation to model outputs for improving AUC performance on binary classification tasks. We consider overconfident models, whose performance is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-11 David Durfee , Aman Gupta , Kinjal Basu

In this paper, we introduce a new online scheduling framework for minimizing total weighted completion time in a general setting. The framework is inspired by the work of Hall et al. [Mathematics of Operations Research, Vol 22(3):513-544,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-04-25 Samir Khuller , Jingling Li , Pascal Sturmfels , Kevin Sun , Prayaag Venkat

Multi-modal object detection in autonomous driving has achieved great breakthroughs due to the usage of fusing complementary information from different sensors. The calibration in fusion between sensors such as LiDAR and camera was always…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Zhihang Song , Dingyi Yao , Ruibo Ming , Lihui Peng , Danya Yao , Yi Zhang

This paper considers the computer model calibration problem and provides a general frequentist solution. Under the proposed framework, the data model is semi-parametric with a nonparametric discrepancy function which accounts for any…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-14 Raymond K. W. Wong , Curtis B. Storlie , Thomas C. M. Lee

Reliable uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying neural networks (NNs) in real-world applications. While existing calibration techniques often rely on post-hoc adjustments or coarse-grained binning methods, they remain limited in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Pedro Mendes , Paolo Romano , David Garlan

Recent works have shown that deep neural networks can achieve super-human performance in a wide range of image classification tasks in the medical imaging domain. However, these works have primarily focused on classification accuracy,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-09-10 Gongbo Liang , Yu Zhang , Xiaoqin Wang , Nathan Jacobs