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Bayesian composite likelihood estimation of the tail index of a heavy-tailed distribution is addressed when data are randomly right-censored. Maximum a posteriori and mean posterior estimators are constructed under Jeffrey's prior…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-18 Abdelkader Ameraoui , Jean-François Dupuy , Kamal Boukhetala

In the late 1990s, Kim and Vu pioneered an inductive method for showing concentration of certain random variables X. Shortly afterwards, Janson and Ruci{\'n}ski developed an alternative inductive approach, which often gives comparable…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-09 Lutz Warnke

We show that the naive mean-field approximation correctly predicts the leading term of the logarithmic lower tail probabilities for the number of copies of a given subgraph in $G(n,p)$ and of arithmetic progressions of a given length in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Gady Kozma , Wojciech Samotij

We introduce a faithful representation of the heavy tail multivariate distribution of asset returns, as parsimonous as the Gaussian framework. Using calculation techniques of functional integration and Feynman diagrams borrowed from…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen , P. Simonetti

Given a specified average load factor, hash tables offer the appeal of constant time lookup operations. However, hash tables could face severe hash collisions because of malicious attacks, buggy applications, or even bursts of incoming…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2020-06-02 Junchang Wang , Xiong Fu , Fu Xiao , Chen Tian

Tree search is a fundamental tool for planning, as many sequential decision-making problems can be framed as searching over tree-structured spaces. We propose an uncertainty-guided tree search algorithm for settings where the reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-05 Julia Grosse , Ruotian Wu , Ahmad Rashid , Cheng Zhang , Philipp Hennig , Pascal Poupart , Agustinus Kristiadi

In this note, we consider using a link function that has heavier tails than the usual exponential link function. We construct efficient Gibbs algorithms for Poisson and Multinomial models based on this link function by introducing gamma and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura

We study tail estimation in Pareto-like settings for datasets with a high percentage of randomly right-censored data, and where some expert information on the tail index is available for the censored observations. This setting arises for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

Dynamical systems generated by iterations of multivariate polynomials with slow degree growth have proved to admit good estimates of exponential sums along their orbits which in turn lead to rather stronger bounds on the discrepancy for…

数论 · 数学 2010-01-10 Alina Ostafe , Igor E. Shparlinski

While the estimation of risk is an important question in the daily business of banking and insurance, many existing plug-in estimation procedures suffer from an unnecessary bias. This often leads to the underestimation of risk and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-01-28 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

Cuckoo hashing is a common hashing technique, guaranteeing constant-time lookups in the worst case. Adding a stash was proposed by Kirsch, Mitzenmacher, and Wieder at SICOMP 2010, as a way to reduce the probability of failure (i.e., the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-01-03 Brice Minaud , Charalampos Papamanthou

In recent years, tensors have been applied to different applications in science and engineering fields. In order to establish theory about tail bounds of the tensors summation behavior, this work extends previous work by considering the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Shih Yu Chang

In this note, we introduce a general version of the well-known elliptical potential lemma that is a widely used technique in the analysis of algorithms in sequential learning and decision-making problems. We consider a stochastic linear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-20 Nima Hamidi , Mohsen Bayati

Let $\{\xi_n\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables. In this paper we study the comparison for two upper tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}a_n|\xi_n|^p\geq r\}$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-12 Fuchang Gao , Zhenxia Liu , Xiangfeng Yang

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

We describe two algorithms for the eigenvalue, eigenvector problem which, on input a Gaussian matrix with complex entries, finish with probability 1 and in average polynomial time.

数值分析 · 数学 2014-10-09 Diego Armentano , Carlos Beltrán , Michael Shub

We study deviation of U-statistics when samples have heavy-tailed distribution so the kernel of the U-statistic does not have bounded exponential moments at any positive point. We obtain an exponential upper bound for the tail of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-30 Milad Bakhshizadeh

When the arrival processes are Poisson, queueing networks are well-understood in terms of the product-form structure of the number of jobs $N_i$ at the individual queues; much less is known about the waiting time $W$ across the whole…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-21 Florin Ciucu , Sima Mehri
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