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We study the tail behavior of regret in stochastic multi-armed bandits for algorithms that are asymptotically optimal in expectation. While minimizing expected regret is the classical objective, recent work shows that even such algorithms…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-17 Subhodip Panda , Shubhada Agrawal

In many applications, significant correlations between arrivals of load-generating events make the numerical evaluation of the load of a system a challenging problem. Here, we construct very accurate approximations of the workload…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-02 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-29 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Louiza Soltane

We use a series of pre-registered, incentive-compatible online experiments to investigate how people evaluate and choose among different waiting time distributions. Our main findings are threefold. First, consistent with prior literature,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-09 Evgeny Kagan , Kyle Hyndman , Andrew Davis

A particular direction of recent advance about stochastic deep-learning algorithms has been about uncovering a rather mysterious heavy-tailed nature of the stationary distribution of these algorithms, even when the data distribution is not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-28 Sayar Karmakar , Anirbit Mukherjee

Since the celebrated works of Russo and Zou (2016,2019) and Xu and Raginsky (2017), it has been well known that the generalization error of supervised learning algorithms can be bounded in terms of the mutual information between their input…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-20 Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu

We propose a class of weighted least squares estimators for the tail index of a distribution function with a regularly varying upper tail. Our approach is based on the method developed by \cite{Holan2010} for the Parzen tail index.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-02 Amenah AL-Najafi , László Viharos

In this paper, the author proposes a series of multilevel double hashing schemes called cascade hash tables. They use several levels of hash tables. In each table, we use the common double hashing scheme. Higher level hash tables work as…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-06-26 Shaohua Li

This paper considers the basic question of how strong of a probabilistic guarantee can a hash table, storing $n$ $(1 + \Theta(1)) \log n$-bit key/value pairs, offer? Past work on this question has been bottlenecked by limitations of the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-09-19 William Kuszmaul

Heavy tailed phenomena are naturally analyzed by extreme value statistics. A crucial step in such an analysis is the estimation of the extreme value index, which describes the tail heaviness of the underlying probability distribution. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-18 Hanan Ahmed , John H. J. Einmahl

We characterise the learning of a mixture of two clouds of data points with generic centroids via empirical risk minimisation in the high dimensional regime, under the assumptions of generic convex loss and convex regularisation. Each cloud…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Urte Adomaityte , Gabriele Sicuro , Pierpaolo Vivo

A scan statistic is examined for the purpose of testing the existence of a global peak in a random process with dependent variables of any distribution. The scan statistic tail probability is obtained based on the covariance of the moving…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Anat Reiner-Benaim

We investigate the application of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm for the estimation of tail probabilities of solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations evaluated at a given time, and of associated temporal averages. We…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-27 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Tony Lelièvre

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

There are so many models in the literature that it is difficult for practitioners to decide which combinations are likely to be effective for a new task. This paper attempts to address this question by capturing relationships among…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-08 Jiaji Huang , Qiang Qiu , Kenneth Church

A common bottleneck in evaluating extremal performance measures is that, due to their very nature, tail data are often very limited. The conventional approach selects the best probability distribution from tail data using parametric…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-01-03 Henry Lam , Clementine Mottet

We derive two-sided estimates on moments and tails of Gaussian chaoses, that is, random variables of the form $\sum a_{i_1,...,i_d}g_{i_1}... g_{i_d}$, where $g_i$ are i.i.d. ${\mathcal{N}}(0,1)$ r.v.'s. Estimates are exact up to constants…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Rafał Latała

We present upper and lower bounds for the tail distribution of the stationary waiting time $D$ in the stable $GI/GI/s$ FCFS queue. These bounds depend on the value of the traffic load $\rho$ which is the ratio of mean service and mean…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-20 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov