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We propose the use of Monte Carlo histogram reweighting to extrapolate predictions of machine learning methods. In our approach, we treat the output from a convolutional neural network as an observable in a statistical system, enabling its…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-11-25 Dimitrios Bachtis , Gert Aarts , Biagio Lucini

The histogram reweighting technique, widely used to analyze Monte Carlo data, is shown to be applicable to dynamic properties obtained from Molecular Dynamics simulations. The theory presented here is based on the fact that the correlation…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Carlos Nieto-Draghi , Javier Perez-Pellitero , Josep Bonet Avalos

The combination of continuum Many-Body Quantum physics and Monte Carlo methods provide a powerful and well established approach to first principles calculations for large systems. Replacing the exact solution of the problem with a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2009-10-01 J. R. Trail

High statistical precision is critical for Monte Carlo (MC) samples in high energy physics and is degraded by negatively weighted events. This paper investigates a procedure to learn the relationship between the negative and positive weight…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2026-01-15 Christopher Palmer , Braden Kronheim

Importance sampling Monte-Carlo methods are widely used for the approximation of expectations with respect to partially known probability measures. In this paper we study a deterministic version of such an estimator based on quasi-Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu

Empirical relationships are derived for the expected sampling error of quantile estimations using Monte Carlo experiments for two frequency distributions frequently encountered in climate sciences. The relationships found are expressed as a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-12 Philippe Roy , René Laprise , Philippe Gachon

We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

This paper shows a simple implementation of the Histogram Method for extrapolations in Monte Carlo simulations, using the moments of the operators that define the energy, instead of their histogram. This implementation is suitable for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Gabriel Perez

Thermal or finite-size scaling analyses of importance sampling Monte Carlo time series in the vicinity of phase transition points often combine different estimates for the same quantity, such as a critical exponent, with the intent to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-04-08 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

The analysis of results from HEP experiments often involves the estimates of the composition of the binned data samples, based on Monte Carlo simulations of various sources. Due to a finite statistic of MC samples they have statistical…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-11-22 Petr Mandrik

Monte Carlo simulations are an essential tool in particle physics data analysis. Events are typically generated alongside weights that redistribute the cross section of the simulated process across the phase space. These weights can be…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2026-05-13 Benjamin Nachman , Dennis Noll

Expectation values of physical quantities may accurately be obtained by the evaluation of integrals within Many-Body Quantum mechanics, and these multi-dimensional integrals may be estimated using Monte Carlo methods. In a previous…

计算物理 · 物理学 2009-10-01 J. R. Trail

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

Overlap between two neural quantum states can be computed through Monte Carlo sampling by evaluating the unnormalized probability amplitudes on a subset of basis configurations. Due to the presence of probability amplitude ratios in the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-11-28 Tomasz Szołdra

We discuss possible sources of systematic errors in the computation of critical exponents by renormalization-group methods, extrapolations from exact enumerations and Monte Carlo simulations. A careful Monte Carlo determination of the…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Sergio Caracciolo , Maria Serena Causo , Andrea Pelissetto

We modify the reweighting factor of the projector used in diffusion Monte Carlo to reduce the time-step error of the total energy. Further, we present a reweighting scheme that has the desirable feature that it is exactly size-consistent,…

化学物理 · 物理学 2024-03-18 Tyler A. Anderson , Manolo C. Per , C. J. Umrigar

We present iterative Monte Carlo algorithm for which the temperature variable is attracted by a critical point. The algorithm combines techniques of single histogram reweighting and linear filtering. The 2d Ising model of ferromagnet is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 M. Gmitra , D. Horvath

We combine histogram reweighting techniques with the two-lattice matching Monte Carlo renormalization group method to conduct computationally efficient calculations of critical exponents on systems with moderately small lattice sizes. The…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2024-01-23 Dimitrios Bachtis

Quasi-Monte Carlo sampling can attain far better accuracy than plain Monte Carlo sampling. However, with plain Monte Carlo sampling it is much easier to estimate the attained accuracy. This article describes methods old and new to quantify…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-07-16 Art B. Owen

We describe Monte Carlo approximation to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants and explanatory variables. We consider both sources of randomness (due to the initial sample and to Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel
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