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Monte Carlo event generators are an essential tool for data analysis in collider physics. To include subleading quantum corrections, these generators often need to produce negative weight events, which leads to statistical dilution of the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2020-10-21 Benjamin Nachman , Jesse Thaler

Monte Carlo experiments produce samples in order to estimate features of a given distribution. However, simultaneous estimation of means and quantiles has received little attention, despite being common practice. In this setting we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-24 Nathan Robertson , James M. Flegal , Dootika Vats , Galin L. Jones

In this paper, we present the results of Monte Carlo simulations for two popular techniques of long-range correlations detection - classical and modified rescaled range analyses. A focus is put on an effect of different distributional…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-05-24 Ladislav Kristoufek

While the Quasi-Monte Carlo method of numerical integration achieves smaller integration error than standard Monte Carlo, its use in particle physics phenomenology has been hindered by the abscence of a reliable way to estimate that error.…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 R. H. Kleiss , A. Lazopoulos

We construct Monte Carlo methods for the $L^2$-approximation in Hilbert spaces of multivariate functions sampling no more than $n$ function values of the target function. Their errors catch up with the rate of convergence and the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-03-16 David Krieg

Hierarchical Bayesian inference is often conducted with estimates of the target distribution derived from Monte Carlo sums over samples from separate analyses of parts of the hierarchy or from mock observations used to estimate sensitivity…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-04-04 Reed Essick , Will Farr

In quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods, energy estimators are calculated as the statistical average of the Markov chain sampling of energy estimator along with an associated statistical error. This error estimation is not straightforward and…

计算物理 · 物理学 2022-04-26 Tom Ichibha , Kenta Hongo , Ryo Maezono , Alex J. W. Thom

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

Within Full Configuration Interaction Quantum Monte Carlo, we investigate how the statistical error behaves as a function of the parameters which control the stochastic sampling. We define the inefficiency as a measure of the statistical…

化学物理 · 物理学 2016-03-15 W. A. Vigor , J. S. Spencer , M. J. Bearpark , A. J. W. Thom

Population Monte Carlo (PMC) sampling methods are powerful tools for approximating distributions of static unknowns given a set of observations. These methods are iterative in nature: at each step they generate samples from a proposal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

In the finite-size scaling analysis of Monte Carlo data, instead of computing the observables at fixed Hamiltonian parameters, one may choose to keep a renormalization-group invariant quantity, also called phenomenological coupling, fixed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-08-31 Francesco Parisen Toldin

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

Monte Carlo integration is a commonly used technique to compute intractable integrals and is typically thought to perform poorly for very high-dimensional integrals. To show that this is not always the case, we examine Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Yanbo Tang

The reweighting method is widely used in numerical studies of QCD, in particular, for the cases in which the conventional Monte-Carlo method cannot be applied directly, e.g., finite density QCD. However, the application range of the…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2015-11-23 R. Iwami , S. Ejiri , K. Kanaya , Y. Nakagawa , D. Yamamoto , T. Umeda

We review the method of stochastic error correction which eliminates the truncation error associated with any subspace diagonalization. Monte Carlo sampling is used to compute the contribution of the remaining basis vectors not included in…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Dean Lee

Measurement error is a pervasive issue which renders the results of an analysis unreliable. The measurement error literature contains numerous correction techniques, which can be broadly divided into those which aim to produce exactly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-08 Dylan Spicker , Michael P Wallace , Grace Y Yi

This paper examines the precision of estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall, Spectral Risk Measures). It first addresses the question of how to estimate the precision of these estimators, and proposes…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-03-30 Kevin Dowd , John Cotter

Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-05-24 Daan Frenkel , K. Julian Schrenk , Stefano Martiniani

We propose a method for eliminating the truncation error associated with any subspace diagonalization calculation. The new method, called stochastic error correction, uses Monte Carlo sampling to compute the contribution of the remaining…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Dean Lee , Nathan Salwen , Mark Windoloski