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During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

This paper presents a novel one-factor stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous volatility of the asset log-return is a diffusion with a quadratic drift and a linear dispersion function. The instantaneous volatility mean reverts…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-21 Peter Carr , Sander Willems

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

We revisit classical asymptotics when testing for a structural break in linear regression models by obtaining the limit theory of residual-based and Wald-type processes. First, we establish the Brownian bridge limiting distribution of these…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-16 Christis Katsouris

We present an overview of the broad class of financial models in which the prices of assets are L\'evy-Ito processes driven by an $n$-dimensional Brownian motion and an independent Poisson random measure. The Poisson random measure is…

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

We consider a generalization of the Heath Jarrow Morton model for the term structure of interest rates where the forward rate is driven by Paretian fluctuations. We derive a generalization of It\^{o}'s lemma for the calculation of a…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Brian Lucey , Peter Richmond

This paper examines the problem of pricing spread options under some models with jumps driven by Compound Poisson Processes and stochastic volatilities in the form of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR) processes. We derive the characteristic function…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-09-04 Pablo Olivares , Matthew Cane

This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion 'factor' process. The…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-03-13 Mark H. A. Davis , Sebastien Lleo

Several two-boundary problems are solved for a special L\'{e}vy process: the Poisson process with an exponential component. The jumps of this process are controlled by a homogeneous Poisson process, the positive jump size distribution is…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Tetyana Kadankova , Noël Veraverbeke

In this article, we consider a Markov process X, starting from x and solving a stochastic differential equation, which is driven by a Brownian motion and an independent pure jump component exhibiting state-dependent jump intensity and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-29 José E. Figueroa-López , Yankeng Luo

Consider a multi-dimensional Brownian motion which models the surplus processes of multiple lines of business of an insurance company. Our main result gives exact asymptotics for the cumulative Parisian ruin probability as the initial…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-28 Lanpeng Ji

For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

Conditional independence and graphical models are crucial concepts for sparsity and statistical modeling in higher dimensions. For L\'evy processes, a widely applied class of stochastic processes, these notions have not been studied. By the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-13 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Jakob D. Thøstesen

We study the mean escape time in a market model with stochastic volatility. The process followed by the volatility is the Cox Ingersoll and Ross process which is widely used to model stock price fluctuations. The market model can be…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Giovanni Bonanno , Davide Valenti , Bernardo Spagnolo

We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-01 Timur Takhtaganov , Juliane Müller

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-16 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev