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Wind and solar power are known to be highly influenced by weather events and may ramp up or down abruptly. Such events in the power production influence not only the availability of energy, but also the stability of the entire power grid.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-07-20 M. Anvari , G. Lohmann , M. Wächter , P. Milan , E. Lorenz , D. Heinemann , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar , Joachim Peinke

Exerting fluctuations is a part of our daily life: traffic noise, heartbeat, opinion poll, currency exchange rate, electrical current, chemical reactions - they all permanently fluctuate. One of the most important questions is why the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-08 Maria K. Koleva

Business cycles tend to comove across countries. However, standard models that attribute comovement to propagation of exogenous shocks struggle to generate a level of comovement that is as high as in the data. In this paper, we consider…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-13 Marco Pangallo

The paper explores the connection between short-range social ties (i.e. links with close relatives) and the occurrence of suicide. The objective is to discriminate between a model based on social ties and a model based on psychological…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Bertrand M. Roehner

We have investigated the origin of fluctuations in the aggregated behaviour of an open-source software community. In a recent series of papers, de Menezes and co-workers have shown how to separate internal dynamics from external…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Sergi Valverde

We characterize a comprehensive family of $d$-variate exogenous shock models. Analytically, we consider a family of multivariate distribution functions that arises from ordering, idiosyncratically distorting, and finally multiplying the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-08 Jan-Frederik Mai , Steffen Schenk , Matthias Scherer

In order to disentangle the internal dynamics from exogenous factors within the Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) model, we present an effective measure of endogeneity. Inspired from the Hawkes model, this measure is defined as the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-06-20 Vladimir Filimonov , Spencer Wheatley , Didier Sornette

Stochastic chains represent a wide and key variety of phenomena in many branches of science within the context of Information Theory and Thermodynamics. They are typically approached by a sequence of independent events or by a memoryless…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-06 J. Ricardo Arias-Gonzalez

In this paper we investigate the endogenous information contained in four liquidity variables at a five minutes time scale on equity markets around the world: the traded volume, the bid-ask spread, the volatility and the volume at first…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-11-12 Mikołaj Bińkowski , Charles-Albert Lehalle

We study the effect of intrinsic heterogeneity on the activity of a population of leaky integrate-and-fire neurons. By rescaling the dynamical equation, we derive mathematical relations between multiple neuronal parameters and a fluctuating…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2013-08-21 Man Yi Yim , Ad Aertsen , Stefan Rotter

This paper is devoted to the study of the interaction between two distinct forms of non-stationary processes, which we will refer to as non-stationarity of first and second kind. The non-stationarity of first kind is caused by…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-12-18 Callum Muir , Mauro Bologna , Paolo Grigolini

A model of an evolving network of interacting molecular species is shown to exhibit repeated rounds of crashes in which several species get rapidly depopulated, followed by recoveries. The network inevitably self-organizes into an…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Sanjay Jain , Sandeep Krishna

Many natural and physical processes display long memory and extreme events. In these systems, the measured time series is invariably contaminated by noise. As the extreme events display large deviation from the mean behaviour, the noise…

元胞自动机与格子气 · 物理学 2021-11-23 Dayal Singh , M. S. Santhanam

There is empirical evidence from a range of disciplines that as the connectivity of a network increases, we observe an increase in the average fitness of the system. But at the same time, there is an increase in the proportion of…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Paul Ormerod , Rich Colbaugh

It is shown that due to memory effects the complex behaviour of components in a stochastic system can be transmitted to macroscopic evolution of the system as a whole. Within the Markov approximation widely using in ordinary statistical…

adap-org · 物理学 2009-10-30 A. A. Stanislavsky

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

When a plane shock hits a wedge head on, it experiences a reflection-diffraction process and then a self-similar reflected shock moves outward as the original shock moves forward in time. Experimental, computational, and asymptotic analysis…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2007-08-21 Gui-Qiang Chen , Mikhail Feldman

Emergence, the phenomena where a system's micro-scale dynamics facilitate the development of non-trivial, informative higher scales, has become a foundational concept in modern sciences, tying together fields as diverse as physics, biology,…

元胞自动机与格子气 · 物理学 2020-03-31 Thomas F. Varley

The phase transitions and critical properties of two types of inhomogeneous systems are reviewed. In one case, the local critical behaviour results from the particular shape of the system. Here scale-invariant forms like wedges or cones are…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-22 F. Iglói , I. Peschel , L. Turban

The endochronic theory, developed in the early 70s, allows the plastic behavior of materials to be represented by introducing the notion of intrinsic time. With different viewpoints, several authors discussed the relationship between this…

经典物理 · 物理学 2009-01-13 Silvano Erlicher , Nelly Point