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Space weather poses an important but under-quantified threat to critical infrastructure, the economy, and society. While extreme geomagnetic storms are recognized as potential global catastrophes, their socio-economic impacts remain poorly…

It is estimated that over one-fourth of US households experienced a power outage in 2023, costing on average US $\$150$ Bn annually, with $87\%$ of outages caused by natural hazards. Indeed, numerous studies have examined the macroeconomic…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-29 Matthew Sprintson , Edward Oughton

The ongoing change in Earth`s climate is causing an increase in the frequency and severity of climate-related hazards, for example, from coastal flooding, riverine flooding, and tropical cyclones. There is currently an urgent need to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-09 Edward J. Oughton , Tom Russell , Jeongjin Oh , Sara Ballan , Jim W. Hall

Almost 90% of the major power outages in the US are caused due to hurricanes. Due to the highly uncertain nature of hurricanes in both spatial and temporal dimensions, it is essential to quantify the effect of such hurricanes on a power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Vishnu Iyengar , Diego Garcia-Camargo , Anamika Dubey

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on the reliability of transmission lines, specifically…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-07-01 Prakash KC , Maryam Naghibolhosseini , Mohsen Zayernouri

The Texan electric network in the Gulf Coast of the United States is frequently hit by Tropical Cyclones (TC) causing widespread power outages, a risk that is expected to substantially increase under global warming. Here, we introduce a new…

Unplanned power outages cost the US economy over $150 billion annually, partly due to predictive maintenance (PdM) models that overlook spatial, temporal, and causal dependencies in grid failures. This study introduces a multilayer Graph…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-11 Muhammad Kazim , Harun Pirim , Chau Le , Trung Le , Om Prakash Yadav

Geomagnetic storms occurring due to sustained, high-speed solar winds are known to induce currents in power distribution networks. These geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) can cause high voltage transformers (HVT) to overheat, thus…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-10 Morgan Rivers , Łukasz G. Gajewski , David Denkenberger

Hurricanes have caused power outages and blackouts, affecting millions of customers and inducing severe social and economic impacts. The impacts of hurricane-caused blackouts may worsen due to increased heat extremes and possibly increased…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-09 Kairui Feng , Ouyang Min , Ning Lin

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Tornadoes are the most violent of all atmospheric storms. In a typical year, the United States experiences hundreds of tornadoes with associated damages on the order of one billion dollars. Community preparation and resilience would benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-22 Jeremy Diaz , Maxwell Joseph

The North American power grid is one of the most complex technological networks, and its interconnectivity allows both for long-distance power transmission and for the propagation of disturbances. We model the power grid using its actual…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ryan Kinney , Paolo Crucitti , Reka Albert , Vito Latora

This paper presents a methodology for freight traffic assignment in a large-scale road-rail intermodal network under uncertainty. Network uncertainties caused by natural disasters have dramatically increased in recent years. Several of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-08 Majbah Uddin , Nathan Huynh , Fahim Ahmed

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

One of the serious threats related to climate change is an increase in the number and severity of extreme weather events. A prominent example are hurricanes, which result from rising coastal temperatures. Such extreme weather events can…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-05 Julian M. Stürmer , Anton Plietzsch , Mehrnaz Anvari

Many empirical hurricane economic loss models consider only wind speed and neglect storm size. These models may be inadequate in accurately predicting the losses of super-sized storms, such as Hurricane Sandy in 2012. In this study, we…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Alice R. Zhai , Jonathan H. Jiang

Climate-driven power outages pose a growing threat to U.S. grid reliability, yet empirical outage studies and interdependency-based resilience analyses are rarely integrated. This paper presents a data-driven framework that integrates…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yoneke Graham , Gelila Webster , Tina Tran , Sohini Roy

As reliance on power networks has increased over the last century, the risk of damage from geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) has become a concern to utilities. The current state of the art in GIC modelling requires significant…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-09-08 M. J. Heyns , S. I. Lotz , C. T. Gaunt

The measurement and mapping of transportation network vulnerability to natural hazards constitute subjects of global interest, especially due to climate change, and for a sustainable development agenda. During a flood, some elements of a…

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