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An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

A significant hurdle for analyzing large sample data is the lack of effective statistical computing and inference methods. An emerging powerful approach for analyzing large sample data is subsampling, by which one takes a random subsample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-24 Rong Zhu , Ping Ma , Michael W. Mahoney , Bin Yu

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Speculative decoding has emerged as an effective approach for accelerating autoregressive inference by parallelizing token generation through a draft-then-verify paradigm. However, existing methods rely on static drafting lengths and rigid…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Jaydip Sen , Subhasis Dasgupta , Hetvi Waghela

Likelihood-free inference methods based on neural conditional density estimation were shown to drastically reduce the simulation burden in comparison to classical methods such as ABC. When applied in the context of any latent variable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-06 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Recent progress in deep latent variable models has largely been driven by the development of flexible and scalable variational inference methods. Variational training of this type involves maximizing a lower bound on the log-likelihood,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-02 Andriy Mnih , Danilo J. Rezende

In observational studies, accurately characterizing variance is critical for sample size determination, yet unaccounted-for variability from propensity score estimation and the resulting weights limit the accuracy of standard variance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Taekwon Hong , Daeyoung Lim , Woojung Bae , Yong Ma

Stochastic estimators are fundamental to large-scale optimization, where population quantities must be inferred from noisy oracle observations. Although influential methods such as momentum, SPIDER, STORM, and PAGE have been highly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Zhankun Luo , Antesh Upadhyay , M. Berk Sahin , Sang Bin Moon , Anuran Makur , Abolfazl Hashemi

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success in a wide range of tasks. However, their reasoning capabilities, particularly in complex domains like mathematics, remain a significant challenge. Value-based process verifiers,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Zetian Sun , Dongfang Li , Baotian Hu , Min Zhang

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Subsampling techniques can reduce the computational costs of processing big data. Practical subsampling plans typically involve initial uniform sampling and refined sampling. With a subsample, big data inferences are generally built on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Yan Fan , Yang Liu , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

The growing availability of large and complex datasets has increased interest in temporal stochastic processes that can capture stylized facts such as marginal skewness, non-Gaussian tails, long memory, and even non-Markovian dynamics.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Dan Leonte , Raphaël Huser , Almut E. D. Veraart

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

We consider the problem of estimating a parameter associated to a Bayesian inverse problem. Treating the unknown initial condition as a nuisance parameter, typically one must resort to a numerical approximation of gradient of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-17 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Deng Lu

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design. Covariate information is incorporated both through the weights and the estimating equations. The estimator is based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-03 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock