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Composite likelihood estimation has an important role in the analysis of multivariate data for which the full likelihood function is intractable. An important issue in composite likelihood inference is the choice of the weights associated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-15 Davide Ferrari , Chao Zheng

In model-free deep reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms, using noisy value estimates to supervise policy evaluation and optimization is detrimental to the sample efficiency. As this noise is heteroscedastic, its effects can be mitigated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-04 Vincent Mai , Kaustubh Mani , Liam Paull

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

This article introduces an iterative distributed computing estimator for the multinomial logistic regression model with large choice sets. Compared to the maximum likelihood estimator, the proposed iterative distributed estimator achieves…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-03 Yanqin Fan , Yigit Okar , Xuetao Shi

Reinforcement learning (RL) for large language model reasoning is frequently hindered by signal loss, a phenomenon where standard uniform sampling with small group sizes fails to uncover informative learning signals for difficult prompts.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-08 Wei Xiong , Chenlu Ye , Baohao Liao , Hanze Dong , Xinxing Xu , Christof Monz , Jiang Bian , Nan Jiang , Tong Zhang

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye

In this paper, we address the problem of conducting statistical inference in settings involving large-scale data that may be high-dimensional and contaminated by outliers. The high volume and dimensionality of the data require distributed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-30 Emadaldin Mozafari-Majd , Visa Koivunen

We propose a novel sampling-based federated learning framework for statistical inference on M-estimators with non-smooth objective functions, which frequently arise in modern statistical applications such as quantile regression and AUC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Xiudi Li , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai

Unnormalized (or energy-based) models provide a flexible framework for capturing the characteristics of data with complex dependency structures. However, the application of standard Bayesian inference methods has been severely limited…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Naruki Sonobe , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daichi Mochihashi , Takeru Matsuda

Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose…

A novel computational approach to log-concave density estimation is proposed. Previous approaches utilize the piecewise-affine parametrization of the density induced by the given sample set. The number of parameters as well as non-smooth…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-21 Fabian Rathke , Christoph Schnörr

In this work we consider the unbiased estimation of expectations w.r.t.~probability measures that have non-negative Lebesgue density, and which are known point-wise up-to a normalizing constant. We focus upon developing an unbiased method…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-17 Hamza Ruzayqat , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

Generalized Linear Models are routinely used in data analysis. The classical procedures for estimation are based on Maximum Likelihood and it is well known that the presence of outliers can have a large impact on this estimator. Robust…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-02 Marina Valdora , Claudio Agostinelli , Victor J. Yohai

Learning in models with discrete latent variables is challenging due to high variance gradient estimators. Generally, approaches have relied on control variates to reduce the variance of the REINFORCE estimator. Recent work (Jang et al.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-07 George Tucker , Andriy Mnih , Chris J. Maddison , Dieterich Lawson , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Charita Dellaporta , Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas , François-Xavier Briol

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Approximate inference in probability models is a fundamental task in machine learning. Approximate inference provides powerful tools to Bayesian reasoning, decision making, and Bayesian deep learning. The main goal is to estimate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Jun Han

Active statistical inference is a new method for inference with AI-assisted data collection. Given a budget on the number of labeled data points that can be collected and assuming access to an AI predictive model, the basic idea is to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Puheng Li , Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel Candès