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We propose a unified, yet simple to code, non-conjugate variational Bayes algorithm for posterior approximation of generic Bayesian generalized mixed effect models. Specifically, we consider regression models identified by a linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Cristian Castiglione , Mauro Bernardi

We develop a (nearly) unbiased particle filtering algorithm for a specific class of continuous-time state-space models, such that (a) the latent process $X_t$ is a linear Gaussian diffusion; and (b) the observations arise from a Poisson…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-11-07 Ruiyang Jin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin

We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

An unsupervised classification method for point events occurring on a network of lines is proposed. The idea relies on the distributional flexibility and practicality of random partition models to discover the clustering structure featuring…

We present a nonparametric Bayesian joint model for multivariate continuous and categorical variables, with the intention of developing a flexible engine for multiple imputation of missing values. The model fuses Dirichlet process mixtures…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-10-14 Jared S. Murray , Jerome P. Reiter

We study mean-field inclusion processes with an additional slow phase, in which particle interactions occur at a vanishing rate proportional to the inverse system size. In the thermodynamic limit, such systems exhibit condensation at high…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-21 Simon Gabriel

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

This work is motivated by the analysis of ecological interaction networks. Poisson stochastic blockmodels are widely used in this field to decipher the structure that underlies a weighted network, while accounting for covariate effects.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-24 Sophie Donnet , Stéphane Robin

Predictive recursion is an accurate and computationally efficient algorithm for nonparametric estimation of mixing densities in mixture models. In semiparametric mixture models, however, the algorithm fails to account for any uncertainty in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Ryan Martin , Surya T. Tokdar

This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of conditional den-sities in mixture models in the case when additional covariates are available. The proposed approach consists of performing a prelim-inary clustering algorithm on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-09 Stéphane Auray , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Laurent Rouvière

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural framework to effectively integrate data and borrow information across groups. In this paper, we address problems related to density estimation and identifying clusters across related groups, by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Huizi Zhang , Sara Wade , Natalia Bochkina

There is a rich literature on clustering functional data with applications to time-series modeling, trajectory data, and even spatio-temporal applications. However, existing methods routinely perform global clustering that enforces…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Tsung-Hung Yao , Suprateek Kundu

To model recurrent interaction events in continuous time, an extension of the stochastic block model is proposed where every individual belongs to a latent group and interactions between two individuals follow a conditional inhomogeneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-30 Catherine Matias , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

Analyzing crime events is crucial to understand crime dynamics and it is largely helpful for constructing prevention policies. Point processes specified on linear networks can provide a more accurate description of crime incidents by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Sujeong Lee , Won Chang , Jorge Mateu , Heejin Lee , Jaewoo Park

There is an increasingly rich literature about Bayesian nonparametric models for clustering functional observations. However, most of the recent proposals rely on infinite-dimensional characterizations that might lead to overly complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-05 Tommaso Rigon

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

The increasing availability of multiple network data has highlighted the need for statistical models for heterogeneous populations of networks. A convenient framework makes use of metrics to measure similarity between networks. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Francesco Barile , Simón Lunagómez , Bernardo Nipoti