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We derive streamlined mean field variational Bayes algorithms for fitting linear mixed models with crossed random effects. In the most general situation, where the dimensions of the crossed groups are arbitrarily large, streamlining is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Marianne Menictas , Gioia Di Credico , Matt P. Wand

In this work, we introduce a new methodology for inferring the interaction structure of discrete valued time series which are Poisson distributed. While most related methods are premised on continuous state stochastic processes, in fact,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-12 Jeremie Fish , Jie Sun , Erik Bollt

In this work we introduce a semi-parametric Bayesian change-point model, defining its time dynamic as a latent Markov process based on the Dirichlet process. We treat the number of change point as a random variable and we estimate it during…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-28 Gianluca Mastrantonio

A non-homogeneous Poisson cluster model is studied, motivated by insurance applications. The Poisson center process which expresses arrival times of claims, triggers off cluster member processes which correspond to number or amount of…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-02 Muneya Matsui

Sparse Gaussian processes and various extensions thereof are enabled through inducing points, that simultaneously bottleneck the predictive capacity and act as the main contributor towards model complexity. However, the number of inducing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-27 Anders Kirk Uhrenholt , Valentin Charvet , Bjørn Sand Jensen

Multi-task learning leverages shared information among data sets to improve the learning performance of individual tasks. The paper applies this framework for data where each task is a phase-shifted periodic time series. In particular, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas

A family of parsimonious shifted asymmetric Laplace mixture models is introduced. We extend the mixture of factor analyzers model to the shifted asymmetric Laplace distribution. Imposing constraints on the constitute parts of the resulting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-05 Brian C. Franczak , Paul D. McNicholas , Ryan P. Browne , Paula M. Murray

This paper shows how the variational Bayes method provides a computational efficient technique in the context of hierarchical modelling using Dirichlet process priors, in particular without requiring conjugate prior assumption. It shows,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-09-23 Hui Zhao , Paul Marriott

Randomly scaled scale-decorated Poisson point process is introduced recently in Bhattacharya et al. [2017] where it appeared as weak limit of a sequence of point processes in the context of branching random walk. In this article, we obtain…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-20 Ayan Bhattacharya

Change-point models deal with ordered data sequences. Their primary goal is to infer the locations where an aspect of the data sequence changes. In this paper, we propose and implement a nonparametric Bayesian model for clustering…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Ana Carolina da Cruz , Camila P. E. de Souza

Dirichlet Process Mixture (DPM) models have been increasingly employed to specify random partition models that take into account possible patterns within the covariates. Furthermore, to deal with large numbers of covariates, methods for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-01 William Barcella , Maria De Iorio , Gianluca Baio

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha

Bayesian inference on non-Gaussian data is often non-analytic and requires computationally expensive approximations such as sampling or variational inference. We propose an approximate inference framework primarily designed to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Marius Hobbhahn , Philipp Hennig

We consider the problem of model-based clustering in the presence of many correlated, mixed continuous and discrete variables, some of which may have missing values. Discrete variables are treated with a latent continuous variable approach…

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

We address the new problem of estimating a piece-wise constant signal with the purpose of detecting its change points and the levels of clusters. Our approach is to model it as a nonparametric penalized least square model selection on a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas , Carlo Fischione , Mohammad R. Hesamzadeh

We present the first fully variational Bayesian inference scheme for continuous Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes. Such point processes are used in a variety of domains, including neuroscience, geo-statistics and astronomy, but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-29 Chris Lloyd , Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Probabilistic clustering models (or equivalently, mixture models) are basic building blocks in countless statistical models and involve latent random variables over discrete spaces. For these models, posterior inference methods can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Ari Pakman , Yueqi Wang , Catalin Mitelut , JinHyung Lee , Liam Paninski

We develop methods for efficient amortized approximate Bayesian inference over posterior distributions of probabilistic clustering models, such as Dirichlet process mixture models. The approach is based on mapping distributed,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

We develop a structural framework for modeling and inferring unobserved heterogeneity in dynamic panel-data models. Unlike methods treating clustering as a descriptive device, we model heterogeneity as arising from a latent clustering…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-29 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni