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Inferring causal effects from an observational study is challenging because participants are not randomized to treatment. Observational studies in infectious disease research present the additional challenge that one participant's treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-25 Brian G. Barkley , Michael G. Hudgens , John D. Clemens , Mohammad Ali , Michael E. Emch

A further understanding of cause and effect within observational data is critical across many domains, such as economics, health care, public policy, web mining, online advertising, and marketing campaigns. Although significant advances…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li

We study causal inference in randomized experiments (or quasi-experiments) following a $2\times 2$ factorial design. There are two treatments, denoted $A$ and $B$, and units are randomly assigned to one of four categories: treatment $A$…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-12 Mate Kormos , Robert P. Lieli , Martin Huber

In this work, we consider causal inference in various high-dimensional treatment settings, including for single multi-valued treatments and vector treatments with binary or continuous components, when the number of treatments can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-26 Patrick Kramer , Edward H. Kennedy , Isaac M. Opper

This paper develops a nonparametric model that represents how sequences of outcomes and treatment choices influence one another in a dynamic manner. In this setting, we are interested in identifying the average outcome for individuals in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-16 Sukjin Han

We present new estimators for the statistical analysis of the dependence of the mean gap time length between consecutive recurrent events, on a set of explanatory random variables and in the presence of right censoring. The dependence is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-10 Ioana Schiopu-Kratina , Hai Yan Liu , Mayer Alvo , Pierre-Jerome Bergeron

In recent years, the field of causal inference from observational data has emerged rapidly. The literature has focused on (conditional) average causal effect estimation. When (remaining) variability of individual causal effects (ICEs) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Richard Post , Edwin van den Heuvel

This paper considers treatment effects under endogeneity with complex heterogeneity in the selection equation. We model the outcome of an endogenous treatment as a triangular system, where both the outcome and first-stage equations consist…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-26 Eric Gautier , Stefan Hoderlein

This paper presents a randomization-based framework for estimating causal effects under interference between units, motivated by challenges that arise in analyzing experiments on social networks. The framework integrates three components:…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-21 Peter M. Aronow , Cyrus Samii

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating the causal effects of an intervention. In the simplest setting, each experimental unit is randomly assigned to receive treatment or control, and then the outcomes in each treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-05 Guillaume Basse , Yi Ding , Panos Toulis

Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) on fragile populations frequently encounter complex attrition problems where the reasons for missing outcomes can be heterogeneous, with participants who are known alive, known to have died, or with unknown…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Guangyu Tong , Chenxi Li , Eric Velazquez , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

Instrumental variables are widely used in econometrics and epidemiology for identifying and estimating causal effects when an exposure of interest is confounded by unmeasured factors. Despite this popularity, the assumptions invoked to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Alexander W. Levis , Edward H. Kennedy , Luke Keele

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

Political scientists are increasingly interested in assessing causal mechanisms, or determining not just if a causal effect exists but also why it occurs. Even so, many researchers avoid formal causal mediation analyses due to their…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-21 Matthew Blackwell , Ruofan Ma , Aleksei Opacic

The estimand framework proposes different strategies to address intercurrent events. The treatment policy strategy seems to be the most favoured as it is closely aligned with the pre-addendum intention-to-treat principle. All data for all…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-21 Sunita Rehal , Nicky Best , Sarah Watts , Thomas Drury

In causal mediation analysis, identification of existing causal direct or indirect effects requires untestable assumptions in which potential outcomes and potential mediators are independent. This paper defines a new causal direct and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Takahiro Hoshino

The most widely discussed methods for estimating the Average Causal Effect/Average Treatment Effect are those for intervention in discrete binary variables whose value represents intervention/non-intervention groups. On the other hand,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-21 Yoshiaki Kitazawa

In settings where interference is present, direct effects are commonly defined as the average effect of a unit's treatment on their own outcome while fixing the treatment status or probability among interfering units, and spillover effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Fei Fang , Edoardo M Airoldi , Laura Forastiere

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Standard methods for estimating average causal effects require complete observations of the exposure and confounders. In observational studies, however, missing data are ubiquitous. Motivated by a study on the effect of prescription opioids…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Lan Wen , Glen McGee
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