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This paper explores how Large Language Models (LLMs) behave in a classic experimental finance paradigm widely known for eliciting bubbles and crashes in human participants. We adapt an established trading design, where traders buy and sell…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-10-14 Thomas Henning , Siddhartha M. Ojha , Ross Spoon , Jiatong Han , Colin F. Camerer

We explore the potential of Large Language Models (LLMs) to replicate human behavior in economic market experiments. Compared to previous studies, we focus on dynamic feedback between LLM agents: the decisions of each LLM impact the market…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-13 R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Marco Pangallo , Cars Hommes

This paper presents a realistic simulated stock market where large language models (LLMs) act as heterogeneous competing trading agents. The open-source framework incorporates a persistent order book with market and limit orders, partial…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-16 Alejandro Lopez-Lira

Recent works have increasingly applied Large Language Models (LLMs) as agents in financial stock market simulations to test if micro-level behaviors aggregate into macro-level phenomena. However, a crucial question arises: Do LLM agents'…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-03-25 Zeping Li , Guancheng Wan , Keyang Chen , Yu Chen , Yiwen Zhao , Philip Torr , Guangnan Ye , Zhenfei Yin , Hongfeng Chai

We study how AI agents form expectations and trade in experimental asset markets. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings. First, AI agents exhibit…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-21 Shumiao Ouyang , Pengfei Sui

This study explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) to conduct market experiments, aiming to understand their capability to comprehend competitive market dynamics. We model the behavior of market agents in a controlled…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-11-04 Jingru Jia , Zehua Yuan

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated the ability to adopt a personality and behave in a human-like manner. There is a large body of research that investigates the behavioural impacts of personality in less obvious areas such as…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Harris Borman , Anna Leontjeva , Luiz Pizzato , Max Kun Jiang , Dan Jermyn

The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs), has opened exciting possibilities for constructing computational simulations designed to replicate human behavior accurately. Current research suggests that LLM-based agents become increasingly…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Amir Taubenfeld , Yaniv Dover , Roi Reichart , Ariel Goldstein

We introduce a novel framework for simulating macroeconomic expectations using LLM Agents. By constructing LLM Agents equipped with various functional modules, we replicate three representative survey experiments involving several…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-26 Jianhao Lin , Lexuan Sun , Yixin Yan

As AI agents increasingly act on behalf of human stakeholders in economic settings, understanding their behavior in complex market environments becomes critical. This article examines how Large Language Models coordinate on markets that are…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-11 Alexander Erlei , Lukas Meub

The study of social emergence has long been a central focus in social science. Traditional modeling approaches, such as rule-based Agent-Based Models (ABMs), struggle to capture the diversity and complexity of human behavior, particularly…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Yuzhe Yang , Yifei Zhang , Minghao Wu , Kaidi Zhang , Yunmiao Zhang , Honghai Yu , Yan Hu , Benyou Wang

In real-world stock markets, certain chart patterns -- such as price declines near historical highs -- cannot be fully explained by fundamentals alone. These phenomena suggest the presence of path dependence in price formation, where…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Ryuji Hashimoto , Takehiro Takayanagi , Masahiro Suzuki , Kiyoshi Izumi

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in social science simulations. While their performance on reasoning and optimization tasks has been extensively evaluated, less attention has been paid to their ability to simulate human…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Yuanjun Feng , Vivek Choudhary , Yash Raj Shrestha

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used in decision-making scenarios that involve risk assessment, yet their alignment with human economic rationality remains unclear. In this study, we investigate whether LLMs exhibit risk…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-16 Jiaxin Liu , Yixuan Tang , Yi Yang , Kar Yan Tam

Results in the Heterogeneous Agent Model (HAM) literature determine the proportion of fundamentalists and trend followers in the financial market. This proportion varies according to the periods analyzed. In this paper, we use a large…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-13 Filippo Gusella , Eugenio Vicario

The impressive capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) raise the possibility that synthetic agents can serve as substitutes for real participants in human-subject research. To evaluate this claim, prior research has largely focused on…

Advancements in large language models (LLMs) have renewed concerns about AI alignment - the consistency between human and AI goals and values. As various jurisdictions enact legislation on AI safety, the concept of alignment must be defined…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Claudia Biancotti , Carolina Camassa , Andrea Coletta , Oliver Giudice , Aldo Glielmo

Do generative AI models, particularly large language models (LLMs), exhibit systematic behavioral biases in economic and financial decisions? If so, how can these biases be mitigated? Drawing on the cognitive psychology and experimental…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-11 Pietro Bini , Lin William Cong , Xing Huang , Lawrence J. Jin

Large language models (LLMs) have drastically changed the possible ways to design intelligent systems, shifting the focuses from massive data acquisition and new modeling training to human alignment and strategical elicitation of the full…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-08-15 Frank Xing

This paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can generate reliable stock market predictions. We evaluate four state-of-the-art models - ChatGPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, and Perplexity - across three prompting strategies: a naive…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-04-21 Ricardo Crisostomo , Diana Mykhalyuk
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