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In the last years, increasing efforts have been put into the development of effective stress tests to quantify the resilience of financial institutions. Here we propose a stress test methodology for central counterparties based on a network…

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for analyzing contagion dynamics in financial networks, extending the Navier-Stokes-based approach to network-structured spatial processes. We model financial distress propagation as a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

In economic settings such as learning, social behavior, and financial contagion, agents interact through interdependent networks. This paper examines how a decision maker (DM) can design an optimal intervention strategy under network…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-28 Daeyoung Jeong , Tongseok Lim , Euncheol Shin

The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-11-21 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

A simple banking network model is proposed which features multiple waves of bank defaults and is analytically solvable in the limiting case of an infinitely large homogeneous network. The model is a collection of nodes representing…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-04-02 Igor Tsatskis

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Micro-structural models of contagion and systemic risk emphasize that shock propagation is inherently multi-channel, spanning counterparty exposures, short-term funding and roll-over risk, securities cross-holdings, and common-asset…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-12 Ilias Aarab , Thomas Gottron , Andrea Colombo , Jörg Reddig , Annalauro Ianiro

The question of how to stabilize financial systems has attracted considerable attention since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. Recently, Beale et al. ("Individual versus systemic risk and the regulator's dilemma", Proc Natl Acad…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-01-30 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

We consider a general tractable model for default contagion and systemic risk in a heterogeneous financial network, subject to an exogenous macroeconomic shock. We show that, under some regularity assumptions, the default cascade model…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-04-02 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Agnes Sulem

This paper considers an insurer with two collaborating business lines that faces three critical decisions: (1) dividend payout, (2) reinsurance coverage, and (3) capital injection between the lines, in the presence of model uncertainty. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-27 Tim J. Boonen , Engel John C. Dela Vega , Len Patrick Dominic M. Garces

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer

We study contagion and systemic risk in sparse financial networks with balance-sheet interactions on a directed random graph. Each institution has homogeneous liabilities and equity, and exposures along outgoing edges are split equally…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-08 Riley James Bendel

This paper introduces a formulation of the optimal network compression problem for financial systems. This general formulation is presented for different levels of network compression or rerouting allowed from the initial interbank network.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-07-14 Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

We study the disequilibrium dynamics of a stylised model of production networks in which firms use perishable and non-substitutable intermediate inputs, so that adverse idiosyncratic productivity shocks can trigger downstream shortages and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-02 David Martin , José Moran , Debabrata Panja , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Default risk calculus plays a crucial role in portfolio optimization when the risky asset is under threat of bankruptcy. However, traditional stochastic control techniques are not applicable in this scenario, and additional assumptions are…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-05-10 José A. Salmerón , Giulia Di Nunno , Bernardo D'Auria

This paper develops a quantitative framework to assess the robustness of Bayes-optimal decisions in finite decision problems under model uncertainty. We introduce two complementary stability notions for acts: the robustness radius,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Christoph Jansen , Georg Schollmeyer

It had been believed in the conventional practice that the risk of a bank going bankrupt is lessened in a straightforward manner by transferring the risk of loan defaults. But the failure of American International Group in 2008 posed a more…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

Assessing the stability of economic systems is a fundamental research focus in economics, that has become increasingly interdisciplinary in the currently troubled economic situation. In particular, much attention has been devoted to the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-02-24 Matteo Serri , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

The Survivable Network Design problem (SNDP) is a well-studied problem, motivated by the design of networks that are robust to faults under the assumption that any subset of edges up to a specific number can fail. We consider non-uniform…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Chandra Chekuri , Rhea Jain

This study presents an ANWSER model (asset network systemic risk model) to quantify the risk of financial contagion which manifests itself in a financial crisis. The transmission of financial distress is governed by a heterogeneous bank…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima