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To reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis a set of 5 technical indicators and 23 fundamental indicators was identified to establish the possibility of generating excess returns on the stock market. Leveraging these data points and various…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-17 Jaideep Singh , Matloob Khushi

We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

Technical analysis is used to discover investment opportunities. To test this hypothesis we propose an hybrid system using machine learning techniques together with genetic algorithms. Using technical analysis there are more ways to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-30 Gonçalo Abreu , Rui Neves , Nuno Horta

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2009-01-06 Andreas Krause

Technical trading represents a class of investment strategies for Financial Markets based on the analysis of trends and recurrent patterns of price time series. According standard economical theories these strategies should not be used…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-10-25 Federico Garzarelli , Matthieu Cristelli , Andrea Zaccaria , Luciano Pietronero

We explore the competitive effects of reaction time of automated trading strategies in simulated financial markets containing a single exchange with public limit order book and continuous double auction matching. A large body of research…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-12-01 Henry Hanifan , John Cartlidge

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu

In recent years, machine learning has become prevalent in numerous tasks, including algorithmic trading. Stock market traders utilize machine learning models to predict the market's behavior and execute an investment strategy accordingly.…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-09-03 Elior Nehemya , Yael Mathov , Asaf Shabtai , Yuval Elovici

We summarized both common and novel predictive models used for stock price prediction and combined them with technical indices, fundamental characteristics and text-based sentiment data to predict S&P stock prices. A 66.18% accuracy in S&P…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Shan Zhong , David B. Hitchcock

Traditional stock market prediction methods commonly only utilize the historical trading data, ignoring the fact that stock market fluctuations can be impacted by various other information sources such as stock related events. Although some…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-16 Xi Zhang , Yixuan Li , Senzhang Wang , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

We present an algorithm producing a dynamic non-self-financing hedging strategy in an incomplete market corresponding to investor-relevant risk criterion. The optimization is a two stage process that first determines admissible model…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-10 N. Josephy , L. Kimball , A. Nagaev , M. Pasniewski , V. Steblovskaya

In this paper we propose a mathematical framework to address the uncertainty emergingwhen the designer of a trading algorithm uses a threshold on a signal as a control. We rely ona theorem by Benveniste and Priouret to deduce our Inventory…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-11-12 Hadrien De March , Charles-Albert Lehalle

We investigated the use of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), feature engineering and machine learning algorithms to optimize trading decisions. We used five, two, and one year samples of hourly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-27 Gabriel R. Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

The marvel of markets lies in the fact that dispersed information is instantaneously processed and used to adjust the price of goods, services and assets. Financial markets are particularly efficient when it comes to processing information;…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-07-19 Stefan Feuerriegel , Helmut Prendinger

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts
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