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Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

This paper provides a benchmark to evaluate operational day-ahead solar irradiance forecasts of Global Forecast System (GFS) for solar energy applications in China. First, GFS day-ahead solar irradiance forecasts are validated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-07-06 Yue Zhang , Yanbo Shen , Xiangao Xia , Guangyu Shi

Integration of intermittent renewable energy sources into electric grids in large proportions is challenging. A well-established approach aimed at addressing this difficulty involves the anticipation of the upcoming energy supply…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Satellite-based solar irradiation forecasting is useful for short-term intra-day time horizons, outperforming numerical weather predictions up to 3-4 hours ahead. The main techniques for solar satellite forecast are based on sophisticated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-09-02 Franco Marchesoni-Acland , Rodrigo Alonso Suárez

Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose severe threats to life, infrastructure, and economies in tropical and subtropical regions, underscoring the critical need for accurate and timely forecasts of both track and intensity. Recent advances in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Peisong Niu , Haifan Zhang , Yang Zhao , Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Wenqiang Shen , Junping Zhao , Huiling Yuan , Liang Sun

Accurate surface solar irradiance (SSI) forecasting is essential for optimizing renewable energy systems, particularly in the context of long-term energy planning on a global scale. This paper presents a pioneering approach to solar…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-14 Alberto Carpentieri , Jussi Leinonen , Jeff Adie , Boris Bonev , Doris Folini , Farah Hariri

Accurate solar power forecasting is crucial to integrate photovoltaic plants into the electric grid, schedule and secure the power grid safety. This problem becomes more demanding for those newly installed solar plants which lack sufficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 Ziqing Ma , Wenwei Wang , Tian Zhou , Chao Chen , Bingqing Peng , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

As solar power continues to grow and replace traditional energy sources, the need for reliable forecasting models becomes increasingly important to ensure the stability and efficiency of the grid. However, the management of these models…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-25 José L. Risco-Martín , Ignacio-Iker Prado-Rujas , Javier Campoy , María S. Pérez , Katzalin Olcoz

Solar irradiance is fundamental data crucial for analyses related to weather and climate. High-precision estimation models are necessary to create areal data for solar irradiance. In this study, we developed a novel estimation model by…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-07-08 Jun Sasaki , Maki Okada , Kenji Utsunomiya , Koji Yamaguchi

Accurate 24-hour solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the safe and economic operation of solar photovoltaic systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models represent the state-of-the-art in forecasting performance…

Accurate day-ahead forecasts of solar irradiance are required for the large-scale integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems into the power grid. However, current forecasting solutions lack the temporal and spatial resolution required…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Baptiste Schubnel , Jelena Simeunović , Corentin Tissier , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo

This study predicts hourly solar irradiance components, Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI), and Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (DHI) using meteorological data to forecast solar energy output in Ibadan,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Obarotu Peter Urhuerhi , Christopher Udomboso , Caston Sigauke

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Foundation models have demonstrated remarkable success across various scientific domains, motivating our exploration of their potential in solar physics. In this paper, we present Solaris, the first foundation model for forecasting the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-11-26 Harris Abdul Majid , Pietro Sittoni , Francesco Tudisco

Accurate, reliable solar flare prediction is crucial for mitigating potential disruptions to critical infrastructure, while predicting solar flares remains a significant challenge. Existing methods based on heuristic physical features often…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

Weather forecasting has long posed a significant challenge for humanity. While recent AI-based models have surpassed traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods in global forecasting tasks, overfitting remains a critical issue…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Peisong Niu , Ziqing Ma , Tian Zhou , Weiqi Chen , Lefei Shen , Rong Jin , Liang Sun

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

Meteorological satellite imagery is critical for meteorologists. The data have played an important role in monitoring and analyzing weather and climate changes. However, satellite imagery is a kind of observation data and exists a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-09-26 Fang Huang , Wencong Cheng , PanFeng Wang , ZhiGang Wang , HongHong He

Predicting the intensity and amount of sunlight as a function of location and time is an essential component in identifying promising locations for economical solar farming. Although weather models and irradiance data are relatively…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-25 Furong Sun , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland , Siyuan Lu , Youngdeok Hwang
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