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We consider continuous time simple random walks with arbitrary speed measure $\theta$ on infinite weighted graphs. Write $p_t(x,y)$ for the heat kernel of this process. Given on-diagonal upper bounds for the heat kernel at two points…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-01 Matthew Folz

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

We consider graph diffusion processes constructed from finite i.i.d. samples drawn from an unknown manifold embedded in ambient Euclidean space, where the graph affinity is defined by an ambient Gaussian kernel matrix. We show that the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Nan Wu

We consider a family of pseudo differential operators $\{\Delta+ a^\alpha \Delta^{\alpha/2}; a\in (0, 1]\}$ on $\bR^d$ for every $d\geq 1$ that evolves continuously from $\Delta$ to $\Delta + \Delta^{\alpha/2}$, where $\alpha \in (0, 2)$.…

概率论 · 数学 2010-02-08 Zhen-Qing Chen , Panki Kim , Renming Song

We consider time-dependent random walks among time-dependent conductances. For discrete time random walks, we show that, unlike the time-independent case, two-sided Gaussian heat kernel estimates are not stable under perturbations. This is…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-21 Ruojun Huang , Takashi Kumagai

We establish Gaussian-type upper bounds on the heat kernel for a continuous-time random walk on a graph with unbounded weights under an ergodicity assumption. For the proof we use Davies' perturbation method, where we show a maximal…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-31 Sebastian Andres , Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Martin Slowik

In this paper, we establish sharp two-sided estimates for the transition densities of relativistic stable processes [i.e., for the heat kernels of the operators $m-(m^{2/\alpha}-\Delta)^{\alpha/2}$] in $C^{1,1}$ open sets. Here $m>0$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-27 Zhen-Qing Chen , Panki Kim , Renming Song

A variety of problems in computational physics and engineering require the convolution of the heat kernel (a Gaussian) with either discrete sources, densities supported on boundaries, or continuous volume distributions. We present a unified…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-12-04 Jun Wang , Leslie Greengard

In this paper we study the transition densities for a large class of non-symmetric Markov processes whose jumping kernels decay exponentially or subexponentially. We obtain their upper bounds which also decay at the same rate as their…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-03 Panki Kim , Jaehun Lee

In this paper, sharp two-sided estimates for the transition densities of relativistic $\alpha$-stable processes with mass $m\in (0, 1]$ in $C^{1,1}$ exterior open sets are established for all time $t>0$. These transition densities are also…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-14 Zhen-Qing Chen , Panki Kim , Renming Song

In this paper, first we consider the uniform complex time heat kernel estimates of $e^{-z(-\Delta)^{\frac{\alpha}{2}}}$ for $\alpha>0, z\in \mathbb{C}^+$. When $\frac{\alpha}{2}$ is not an integer, generally the heat kernel doest not have…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2022-09-28 Shiliang Zhao , Quan Zheng

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

A stationary Gaussian process is said to be long-range dependent (resp., anti-persistent) if its spectral density $f(\lambda)$ can be written as $f(\lambda)=|\lambda|^{-2d}g(|\lambda|)$, where $0<d<1/2$ (resp., $-1/2<d<0$), and $g$ is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-24 Judith Rousseau , Nicolas Chopin , Brunero Liseo

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

We are interested in estimating the location of what we call "smooth change-point" from $n$ independent observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. The smooth change-point is a transition of the intensity function of the process from…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-17 A. Amiri , S Dachian

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg
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