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The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) has become a popular index not only for measuring the overall prediction capacity of a marker but also the association strength between continuous and binary variables. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Pablo Martinez-Camblor , Sonia Perez-Fernandez , Lucas L. Dwiel , Wilder T. Doucette

We introduce Learning-Augmented Control (LAC), an approach that integrates untrusted machine learning predictions into the control of constrained, nonlinear dynamical systems. LAC is designed to achieve the "best-of-both-worlds" guarantees,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-22 Tongxin Li

The standard quantitative metric for evaluating enrichment capacity known as $\textit{LogAUC}$ depends on a cutoff parameter that controls what the minimum value of the log-scaled x-axis is. Unless this parameter is chosen carefully for a…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-05-23 Ian Scott Knight , Slava Naprienko , John J. Irwin

As instruction-tuned large language models (LLMs) evolve, aligning pretrained foundation models presents increasing challenges. Existing alignment strategies, which typically leverage diverse and high-quality data sources, often overlook…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Yikun Wang , Rui Zheng , Liang Ding , Qi Zhang , Dahua Lin , Dacheng Tao

Binary classification is one of the oldest, most prevalent, and studied problems in machine learning. However, the metrics used to evaluate model performance have received comparatively little attention. The area under the receiver…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Tiago Brogueira , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without any statistical guarantee. We address…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Wang , Aniri , Tianlong Chen , Yue Zhang , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Kaidi Xu

This paper proposes a novel robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems affected by model uncertainty described by interval matrices. The key feature of the proposed method is a bound on the uncertainty…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-20 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Predictions of uncertainty-aware models are diverse, ranging from single point estimates (often averaged over prediction samples) to predictive distributions, to set-valued or credal-set representations. We propose a novel unified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Muhammad Mubashar , Kaizheng Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and its summary measure, the Area Under the Curve (AUC), are well-established tools for evaluating the efficacy of biomarkers in biomedical studies. Compared to the traditional ROC curve,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Ziad Akram Ali Hammouri , Yating Zou , Rahul Ghosal , Juan C. Vidal , Marcos Matabuena

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

To build robust, fair, and safe AI systems, we would like our classifiers to say ``I don't know'' when facing test examples that are difficult or fall outside of the training classes.The ubiquitous strategy to predict under uncertainty is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-22 Kamalika Chaudhuri , David Lopez-Paz

We have recently proposed a rigorous framework for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in which UQ objectives and assumption/information set are brought into the forefront, providing a framework for the communication and comparison of UQ…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2012-02-07 M. McKerns , H. Owhadi , C. Scovel , T. J. Sullivan , M. Ortiz

Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) is an important metric for a wide range of signal processing and machine learning problems, and scalable methods for optimizing AUC have recently been proposed. However, handling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-01 San Gultekin , Avishek Saha , Adwait Ratnaparkhi , John Paisley

The positive-unlabeled (PU) classification is a common scenario in real-world applications such as healthcare, text classification, and bioinformatics, in which we only observe a few samples labeled as "positive" together with a large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-20 Ke Ren , Haichuan Yang , Yu Zhao , Mingshan Xue , Hongyu Miao , Shuai Huang , Ji Liu

The empirical likelihood is a powerful nonparametric tool, that emulates its parametric counterpart -- the parametric likelihood -- preserving many of its large-sample properties. This article tackles the problem of assessing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-29 Duc-Khanh To , Gianfranco Adimari , Monica Chiogna

Reward models (RMs) are essential for aligning large language models (LLM) with human expectations. However, existing RMs struggle to capture the stochastic and uncertain nature of human preferences and fail to assess the reliability of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Xingzhou Lou , Dong Yan , Wei Shen , Yuzi Yan , Jian Xie , Junge Zhang

When people evaluate the performance of a diagnostic test, it is important to control both True Positive Rate (TPR) and False Positive Rate (FPR). In the literature, most researchers propose the partial area under the ROC curve (pAUC) with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-22 Hanfang Yang , Kun Lu , Xiang Lyu , Feifang Hu

In high-stakes automated decision-making, access to predictive uncertainty is essential for enabling users -- human or downstream systems -- to accept or reject predictions based on application-specific cost trade-offs. Such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Lautaro Estienne , Erik Ernst , Matías Vera , Pablo Piantanida , Luciana Ferrer

Accurate Intensive Care Unit (ICU) outcome prediction is critical for improving patient treatment quality and ICU resource allocation. Existing research mainly focuses on structured data, e.g. demographics and vital signs, and lacks…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Yucheng Ruan , Daniel J. Tan , See Kiong Ng , Ling Huang , Mengling Feng

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta