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Projections of storm surge return levels are a basic requirement for effective management of coastal risks. A common approach to estimate hazards posed by extreme sea levels is to use a statistical model, which may use a time series of a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-28 Tony E. Wong

Modern medical research demands specialized causal inference methods evaluating complex continuous-time dynamic treatment regimens using observational data. For instance, obtaining the causal effects of intravenous administration, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Haiyan Zhu , Yingchun Zhou

Changes in the frequency, duration, and severity of climate extremes are forecast to occur under global climate change. The impacts of climate extremes on forest productivity and health are complicated by potential interactions with…

This study proposes a real-time control framework for cascaded hydropower systems that incorporates decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU) to capture the coupling of streamflow uncertainties across the reservoirs. The framework jointly models…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-26 Eliza Cohn , Ning Qi , Upmanu Lall , Bolun Xu

Dynamical downscaling with high-resolution regional climate models may offer the possibility of realistically reproducing precipitation and weather events in climate simulations. As resolutions fall to order kilometers, the use of explicit…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Won Chang , Jiali Wang , Julian Marohnic , Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

This study proposes a Transformer-based longitudinal modeling method to address challenges in clinical risk classification with heterogeneous Electronic Health Record (EHR) data, including irregular temporal patterns, large modality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Anzhuo Xie , Wei-Chen Chang

Increasingly, medical research is dependent on data collected for non-research purposes, such as electronic health records data (EHR). EHR data and other large databases can be prone to measurement error in key exposures, and unadjusted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Kyunghee Han , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

Simulation of rainfall over a region for long time-sequences can be very useful for planning and policy-making, especially in India where the economy is heavily reliant on monsoon rainfall. However, such simulations should be able to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-04 Adway Mitra

Extreme weather poses a large risk to critical energy systems (Ekisheva, Rieder, Norris, Lauby, & Dobson 2021; Levin, Botterud, Mann, Kwon, & Zhou 2022). Uncertainty quantification of negative impacts is important for developing resilience,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Mitchell L. Krock , W. Neal Mann , Zhi Zhou

Models of stochastic image deformation allow study of time-continuous stochastic effects transforming images by deforming the image domain. Applications include longitudinal medical image analysis with both population trends and random…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Alexander Christgau , Alexis Arnaudon , Stefan Sommer

Detecting damage in critical structures using monitored data is a fundamental task of structural health monitoring, which is extremely important for maintaining structures' safety and life-cycle management. Based on statistical pattern…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-21 Xinyi Lei , Zhicheng Chen

Seasonal point processes refer to stochastic models for random events which are only observed in a given season. We develop nonparametric Bayesian methodology to study the dynamic evolution of a seasonal marked point process intensity. We…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-08 Sai Xiao , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Causal effect estimation for dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) contributes to sequential decision making. However, censoring and time-dependent confounding under DTRs are challenging as the amount of observational data declines over time due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-27 Adi Lin , Jie Lu , Junyu Xuan , Fujin Zhu , Guangquan Zhang

The analysis of data arising from environmental health studies which collect a large number of measures of exposure can benefit from using latent variable models to summarize exposure information. However, difficulties with estimation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-21 Brisa N. Sánchez , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen , Louise M. Ryan

This paper introduces a novel framework for causal inference in spatial economics that explicitly models the stochastic transition from partial to general equilibrium effects. We develop a Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM)…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

An important task in drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. Identifying predictive covariates, which influence the treatment effect and can be used to define subgroups of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Katja Ickstadt

Dropout represents a typical issue to be addressed when dealing with longitudinal studies. If the mechanism leading to missing information is non-ignorable, inference based on the observed data only may be severely biased. A frequent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfo'

In medicine, comorbidities refer to the presence of multiple, co-occurring diseases. Due to their co-occurring nature, the course of one comorbidity is often highly dependent on the course of the other disease and, hence, treatments can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-16 Basil Maag , Stefan Feuerriegel , Mathias Kraus , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky , Thomas Züger

Opioid overdose rates have increased in the United States over the past decade and reflect a major public health crisis. Modeling and prediction of drug and opioid hotspots, where a high percentage of events fall in a small percentage of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Xueying Liu , Jeremy Carter , Brad Ray , George Mohler

Modeling precipitation and its accumulation over time and space is essential for flood risk assessment. In this paper, we analyze rainfall data collected over several years through a micro-scale precipitation sensor network in Montpellier,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Chloé Serre-Combe , Nicolas Meyer , Thomas Opitz , Gwladys Toulemonde