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During a pandemic people have to find a trade-off between meeting others and staying safely at home. While meeting others is pleasant, it also increases the risk of infection. We consider this dilemma by introducing a game-theoretic network…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Tobias Friedrich , Hans Gawendowicz , Pascal Lenzner , Anna Melnichenko

The short-term economic consequences of the critical measures employed to curb the transmission of Covid-19 are all too familiar, but the consequences of isolation and loneliness resulting from those measures on the mental well-being of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-30 José F. Fontanari

Inspired by contagion models of social belief formation, we develop an epistemically-informed modeling framework, SIS-Vo, in which vaccine-related information propagates on a signed opinion network. Our model allows for heterogeneous…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-22 Alessandro Casu , Camilla Quaresmini , Robin Delabays , Lewis Mitchell , Philip E. Paré

Population heterogeneity, especially in individuals' contact networks, plays an important role in transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. For vaccine-preventable diseases, outstanding issues like vaccine hesitancy and availability of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-12-29 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu

We present a differential equations model in which contagious disease transmission is affected by contagious fear of the disease and contagious fear of the control, in this case vaccine. The three contagions are coupled. The two fears…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-23 Joshua M. Epstein , Erez Hatna , Jennifer Crodelle

Network-based epidemic models have been extensively employed to understand the spread of infectious diseases, but have generally overlooked the fact that most realistic networks are dynamical rather than static. In this paper, we study a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-02-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Ze-Qiong Zhang , Junyuan Yang , Zhen Jin

Evolutionary game dynamics in structured populations are strongly affected by updating rules. Previous studies usually focus on imitation-based rules, which rely on payoff information of social peers. Recent behavioral experiments suggest…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-10-02 Lei Zhou , Bin Wu , Jinming Du , Long Wang

The waning of immunity after recovery or vaccination is a major factor accounting for the severity and prolonged duration of an array of epidemics, ranging from COVID-19 to diphtheria and pertussis. To study the effectiveness of different…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-02-01 Shoshana Elgart

The potential tradeoff between health outcomes and economic impact has been a major challenge in the policy making process during the COVID-19 pandemic. Epidemic-economic models designed to address this issue are either too aggregate to…

We propose a kinetic model for understanding the link between opinion formation phenomena and epidemic dynamics. The recent pandemic has brought to light that vaccine hesitancy can present different phases and temporal and spatial…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-10-31 Andrea Bondesan , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) model for the spread of an epidemic amongst a population of individuals with a random network of social…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-11-16 Frank Ball , David Sirl

We present three models used to describe the recruitment of the undecided population by pro-vax and no-vax factions. Starting from real-world data of Facebook pages, we compare three opinion dynamics models that catch different behaviours…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-02-08 Jacopo Lenti , Giancarlo Ruffo

Contagion, a concept from epidemiology, has long been used to characterize social influence on people's behavior and affective (emotional) states. While it has revealed many useful insights, it is not clear whether the contagion metaphor is…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-02-17 Aamena Alshamsi , Fabio Pianesi , Bruno Lepri , Alex Pentland , Iyad Rahwan

Regional quarantine policies, in which a portion of a population surrounding infections are locked down, are an important tool to contain disease. However, jurisdictional governments -- such as cities, counties, states, and countries -- act…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-06-10 Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Matthew O. Jackson , Samuel Thau

Decision-making individuals often imitate their highest-earning fellows rather than optimize their own utilities, due to bounded rationality and incomplete information. Perpetual fluctuations between decisions have been reported as the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-16 Yiheng Fu , Pouria Ramazi

We study the spread of a simulated epidemic in a network of individuals who may either contract a disease through sexual contact with an infected nearest neighbor or use safe sex practices under the influence of neighbors who are already…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-25 Paolo Grigolini , David Lambert , Korosh Mahmoodi , Nicola Piccinini

In the present paper a model of a market consisting of real and financial interacting sectors is studied. Agents populating the stock market are assumed to be not able to observe the true underlying fundamental, and their beliefs are biased…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-13 Fausto Cavalli , Ahmad Naimzada , Nicolò Pecora , Marina Pireddu

Mobility interventions in communities play a critical role in containing a pandemic at an early stage. The real-world practice of social distancing can enlighten policymakers and help them implement more efficient and effective control…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-16 Qianqian Sun , Weiyi Zhou , Aliakbar Kabiri , Aref Darzi , Songhua Hu , Hannah Younes , Lei Zhang

Facing the threats of infectious diseases, we take various actions to protect ourselves, but few studies considered an evolving system with competing strategies. In view of that, we propose an evolutionary epidemic model coupled with human…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-26 Hai-Feng Zhang , Zimo Yang , Zhi-Xi Wu , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou

The spreading dynamics of an epidemic and the collective behavioral pattern of the population over which it spreads are deeply intertwined and the latter can critically shape the outcome of the former. Motivated by this, we design a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-08-25 Mengbin Ye , Lorenzo Zino , Alessandro Rizzo , Ming Cao