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Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning systems in high-stakes domains. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees but often produces overly large prediction sets, limiting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

Conformal risk control (CRC) is a recently proposed technique that applies post-hoc to a conventional point predictor to provide calibration guarantees. Generalizing conformal prediction (CP), with CRC, calibration is ensured for a set…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-02 Kfir M. Cohen , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Shlomo Shamai

In the fundamental statistics course, students are taught to remember the well-known saying: "Correlation is not Causation". Till now, statistics (i.e., correlation) have developed various successful frameworks, such as Transformer and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-11-22 Ning Xu , Yifei Gao , Hongshuo Tian , Yongdong Zhang , An-An Liu

While deep learning models often achieve high predictive accuracy, their predictions typically do not come with any provable guarantees on risk or reliability, which are critical for deployment in high-stakes applications. The framework of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

Every wildfire prediction model deployed today shares a dangerous property: none of these methods provides formal guarantees on how much fire spread is missed. Despite extensive work on wildfire spread prediction using deep learning, no…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Baljinnyam Dayan

Video anomaly detection is an essential yet challenging task in the multimedia community, with promising applications in smart cities and secure communities. Existing methods attempt to learn abstract representations of regular events with…

多媒体 · 计算机科学 2023-08-04 Yang Liu , Zhaoyang Xia , Mengyang Zhao , Donglai Wei , Yuzheng Wang , Liu Siao , Bobo Ju , Gaoyun Fang , Jing Liu , Liang Song

The idea of computational error correction has been around for over half a century. The motivation has largely been to mitigate unreliable devices, manufacturing defects or harsh environments, primarily as a mandatory measure to preserve…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2016-11-11 Sriseshan Srikanth , Bobin Deng , Thomas M. Conte

The deployment of multimodal models in high-stakes domains, such as self-driving vehicles and medical diagnostics, demands not only strong predictive performance but also reliable mechanisms for detecting failures. In this work, we address…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Moru Liu , Hao Dong , Olga Fink , Mario Trapp

This paper presents communication-constrained distributed conformal risk control (CD-CRC) framework, a novel decision-making framework for sensor networks under communication constraints. Targeting multi-label classification problems, such…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-25 Meiyi Zhu , Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Caili Guo , Chunyan Feng , Petar Popovski , Osvaldo Simeone

Recent advances in object detectors have led to their adoption for industrial uses. However, their deployment in safety-critical applications is hindered by the inherent lack of reliability of neural networks and the complex structure of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-03 Léo andéol , Luca Mossina , Adrien Mazoyer , Sébastien Gerchinovitz

Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees for controlling the expected loss at a user-specified level. Existing theory typically assumes that the loss decreases monotonically with a tuning parameter that governs the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Tareq Aldirawi , Yun Li , Wenge Guo

This study investigates the capabilities of Cyclic Redundancy Checks(CRCs) to detect burst and random errors. Researchers have favored these error detection codes throughout the evolution of computing and have implemented them in…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Waylon Jepsen

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) often rely on statistical correlations rather than causal reasoning, limiting their robustness and interpretability. While testing methods can identify failures, effective debugging and repair remain challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Fatemeh Vares , Brittany Johnson

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful statistical machine learning tool to construct uncertainty sets with coverage guarantees, which has fueled its extensive adoption in generating prediction regions for decision-making tasks, e.g.,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-21 Han Wang , Chao Ning

Ensuring the safe exploration of reinforcement learning (RL) agents is critical for deployment in real-world systems. Yet existing approaches struggle to strike the right balance: methods that tightly enforce safety often cripple task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Daniel Bethell , Simos Gerasimou , Radu Calinescu , Calum Imrie

Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

We introduce Causal Computational Asymmetry (CCA), a principle for causal direction identification based on optimization dynamics in which one neural network is trained to predict $Y$ from $X$ and another to predict $X$ from $Y$, and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Abdulrahman Tamim

In many real-world problems, predictions are leveraged to monitor and control cyber-physical systems, demanding guarantees on the satisfaction of reliability and safety requirements. However, predictions are inherently uncertain, and…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Conformal Prediction (CP) has recently received a tremendous amount of interest, leading to a wide range of new theoretical and methodological results for predictive inference with formal theoretical guarantees. However, the vast majority…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-22 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Reservoir computers (RCs) are powerful machine learning architectures for time series prediction. Recently, next generation reservoir computers (NGRCs) have been introduced, offering distinct advantages over RCs, such as reduced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Ravi Chepuri , Dael Amzalag , Thomas Antonsen , Michelle Girvan
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