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Large language models can produce correct answers while relying on flawed reasoning traces, partly because common training objectives reward final-answer correctness rather than faithful intermediate reasoning. This undermines…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Sanjeda Akter , Ibne Farabi Shihab , Anuj Sharma

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Standard conformal prediction offers a marginal guarantee on coverage, but for prediction sets to be truly useful, they should ideally ensure coverage conditional on each test point. Unfortunately, it is impossible to achieve exact,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Jivat Neet Kaur , Michael I. Jordan , Ahmed Alaa

Branch and bound algorithms have been developed for reliability analysis of coherent systems. They exhibit a set of advantages; in particular, they can find a computationally efficient representation of a system failure or survival event,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-31 Ji-Eun Byun , Hyeuk Ryu , Daniel Straub

Autonomous systems operate in environments that may change over time. An example is the control of a self-driving vehicle among pedestrians and human-controlled vehicles whose behavior may change based on factors such as traffic density,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-16 Kaizer Rahaman , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Ashish R. Hota , Lars Lindemann

Commonsense causality reasoning (CCR) aims at identifying plausible causes and effects in natural language descriptions that are deemed reasonable by an average person. Although being of great academic and practical interest, this problem…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-06-20 Jiayao Zhang , Hongming Zhang , Weijie J. Su , Dan Roth

Cyclic redundancy check (CRC) codes check if a codeword is correctly received. This paper presents an algorithm to design CRC codes that are optimized for the code-specific error behavior of a specified feedforward convolutional code. The…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-10 Chung-Yu Lou , Babak Daneshrad , Richard D. Wesel

Solving chance-constrained optimal control problems for systems subject to non-stationary uncertainties is a significant challenge.Conventional robust model predictive control (MPC) often yields excessive conservatism by relying on static…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-16 Mingcong Li

Predictive models are often required to produce reliable predictions under statistical conditions that are not matched to the training data. A common type of training-testing mismatch is covariate shift, where the conditional distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Matteo Zecchin , Fredrik Hellström , Sangwoo Park , Shlomo Shamai , Osvaldo Simeone

Real-world classification domains, such as medicine, health and safety, and finance, often exhibit imbalanced class priors and have asynchronous misclassification costs. In such cases, the classification model must achieve a high recall…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Michał Koziarski , Colin Bellinger , Michał Woźniak

Conformal prediction (CP) and its extension, conformal risk control (CRC), are established frameworks for quantifying uncertainty in supervised machine learning through formal guarantees. However, recent breakthroughs in artificial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem , Kevin Zhang , Wei Cui , Marc T. Law , Kin Kwan Leung

Recent advances in retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) have shown promise in enhancing recommendation systems with external knowledge. However, existing RAG-based recommenders face two critical challenges: (1) vulnerability to distribution…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Sebastian Sun

Real-world problems, for example in climate applications, often require causal reasoning on spatially gridded time series data or data with comparable structure. While the underlying system is often believed to behave similarly at different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Martin Rabel , Jakob Runge

An iterated multistep forecasting scheme based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) is proposed for the time series generated by causal chains with infinite memory. This forecasting strategy contains, as a particular case, the iterative…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-03-21 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , James Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Neural networks have had discernible achievements in a wide range of applications. The wide-spread adoption also raises the concern of their dependability and reliability. Similar to traditional decision-making programs, neural networks can…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2022-07-08 Bing Sun , Jun Sun , Hong Long Pham , Jie Shi

Conformal prediction (CP) has been a popular method for uncertainty quantification because it is distribution-free, model-agnostic, and theoretically sound. For forecasting problems in supervised learning, most CP methods focus on building…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Chen Xu , Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie

We study the concept of including the causality principle as regularizer into the solution of linear time-dependent inverse problems. This is achieved by combining transformer-based predictions with classical variational regularization,…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-23 Gesa Sarnighausen , Anne Wald , Andreas Hauptmann

Anomaly detection in multivariate time series is a central challenge in industrial monitoring, as failures frequently arise from complex temporal dynamics and cross-sensor interactions. While recent deep learning models, including graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Pooyan Khosravinia , João Gama , Bruno Veloso

This paper introduces an uncertainty compensation-based robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems with nonlinear time-varying uncertainties. The framework integrates an L1 adaptive controller to compensate…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-20 Ran Tao , Pan Zhao , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Naira Hovakimyan

Most of previous machine learning algorithms are proposed based on the i.i.d. hypothesis. However, this ideal assumption is often violated in real applications, where selection bias may arise between training and testing process. Moreover,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-08-24 Zheyan Shen , Peng Cui , Kun Kuang , Bo Li , Peixuan Chen