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Convergence diagnosis for Markov chain Monte Carlo is a matter of fundamental importance in computational statistics: it determines the resources allocated to a particular sampling problem and influences the practitioner's view of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Buu Phan , Gergely Flamich , Ashish Khisti , Shahab Asoodeh

Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Recent progress on the theory of variational hypocoercivity established that Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo -- at criticality -- can achieve pronounced acceleration in its convergence and hence sampling performance over diffusive…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-18 Stefan Oberdörster

With the recently increased interest in probabilistic models, the efficiency of an underlying sampler becomes a crucial consideration. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is one popular option for models of this kind. Performance of the method,…

Combinatorial optimization problems are central to both practical applications and the development of optimization methods. While classical and quantum algorithms have been refined over decades, machine learning--assisted approaches are…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2026-05-12 Luca Maria Del Bono , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi , Francesco Zamponi

Rich data generating mechanisms are ubiquitous in this age of information and require complex statistical models to draw meaningful inference. While Bayesian analysis has seen enormous development in the last 30 years, benefitting from the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Radu V. Craiu , Evgeny Levi

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

The EM algorithm is a powerful tool for maximum likelihood estimation with missing data. In practice, the calculations required for the EM algorithm are often intractable. We review numerous methods to circumvent this intractability, all of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-01-03 William Ruth

Algorithms which sort lists of real numbers into ascending order have been studied for decades. They are typically based on a series of pairwise comparisons and run entirely on chip. However people routinely sort lists which depend on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-12-28 Samuel L Smith

This paper focuses on the study of an original combination of the Multilevel Monte Carlo method introduced by Giles [10] and the popular importance sampling technique. To compute the optimal choice of the parameter involved in the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-05 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Kaouther Hajji , Ahmed Kebaier

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach that exhibits favourable exploration properties in high-dimensional models such as neural networks. Unfortunately, HMC has limited use in large-data regimes and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-15 Adam D. Cobb , Brian Jalaian

We consider a class of finite time horizon nonlinear stochastic optimal control problem, where the control acts additively on the dynamics and the control cost is quadratic. This framework is flexible and has found applications in many…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-26 Ajay Jasra , Jeremy Heng , Yaxian Xu , Adrian N. Bishop

Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

Statistical machine learning often uses probabilistic algorithms, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), to solve a wide range of problems. Probabilistic computations, often considered too slow on conventional processors, can be…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-26 Xiangyu Zhang , Ramin Bashizade , Yicheng Wang , Cheng Lyu , Sayan Mukherjee , Alvin R. Lebeck

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

Sampling from high dimensional distributions is a computational bottleneck in many scientific applications. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), and in particular the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), are widely used, yet they struggle on problems with a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Jakob Robnik , Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak

Monte Carlo integration is a commonly used technique to compute intractable integrals and is typically thought to perform poorly for very high-dimensional integrals. To show that this is not always the case, we examine Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Yanbo Tang

Modified Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (MHMC) methods combine the ideas behind two popular sampling approaches: Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and importance sampling. As in the HMC case, the bulk of the computational cost of MHMC algorithms lies…

Monte Carlo simulations are based on the manipulation of random numbers to evaluate probable outcomes, with applicability in a variety of different fields. By assigning probabilities, which can be determined a priori, to various events, it…

物理教育 · 物理学 2022-01-03 Parasuraman Swaminathan

This paper is on Bayesian inference for parametric statistical models that are defined by a stochastic simulator which specifies how data is generated. Exact sampling is then possible but evaluating the likelihood function is typically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-02 Borislav Ikonomov , Michael U. Gutmann