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Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithm for drawing samples from smooth probability densities over continuous spaces. We study the variant most widely used in practice, Metropolized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-12 Yuansi Chen , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Monte Carlo methods represent a cornerstone of computer science. They allow to sample high dimensional distribution functions in an efficient way. In this paper we consider the extension of Automatic Differentiation (AD) techniques to Monte…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2023-07-31 Guilherme Catumba , Alberto Ramos , Bryan Zaldivar

This paper is a broad and accessible survey of the methods we have at our disposal for Monte Carlo gradient estimation in machine learning and across the statistical sciences: the problem of computing the gradient of an expectation of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-30 Shakir Mohamed , Mihaela Rosca , Michael Figurnov , Andriy Mnih

We discuss modern ideas in Monte Carlo algorithms in the simplified setting of the one-dimensional anharmonic oscillator. After reviewing the connection between molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo, we introduce to the Metropolis and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-08-07 Gabriele Tartero , Werner Krauth

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to simulate from complex statistical distributions by way of a local exploration of these distributions. This local feature avoids heavy requests on understanding the nature of the target, but it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-12 Christian P. Robert , Victor Elvira , Nick Tawn , Changye Wu

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are one of the most popular classes of algorithms for sampling from a target probability distribution. A rising trend in recent years consists in analyzing the convergence of MCMC algorithms using…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-30 Federica Milinanni

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling from complex high-dimensional continuous distributions. However, in many situations it is necessary or desirable to combine HMC with other…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Guangyao Zhou

This position paper summarizes a recently developed research program focused on inference in the context of data centric science and engineering applications, and forecasts its trajectory forward over the next decade. Often one endeavours…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov , Fangyuan Yu

We review the background of the cluster algorithms in Monte Carlo simulation of statistical physics problems. One of the first such successful algorithm was developed by Swendsen and Wang eight years ago. In contrast to the local…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

When properly tuned, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo scales to some of the most challenging high-dimensional problems at the frontiers of applied statistics, but when that tuning is suboptimal the performance leaves much to be desired. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-05 Michael Betancourt

The Hastings algorithm is a key tool in computational science. While mathematically justified by detailed balance, it can be conceptually difficult to grasp. Here, we present two complementary and intuitive ways to derive and understand the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-07 David D. L. Minh , Do Le , Minh

This book aims to provide a graduate-level introduction to advanced topics in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, as applied broadly in the Bayesian computational context. Most, if not all of these topics (stochastic gradient MCMC,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-18 Paul Fearnhead , Christopher Nemeth , Chris J. Oates , Chris Sherlock

Variational inference lies at the core of many state-of-the-art algorithms. To improve the approximation of the posterior beyond parametric families, it was proposed to include MCMC steps into the variational lower bound. In this work we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-28 Christopher Wolf , Maximilian Karl , Patrick van der Smagt

An increasing number of applications are exploiting sampling-based algorithms for planning, optimization, and inference. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms form the computational backbone of this emerging branch of machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Shirui Zhao , Jun Yin , Lingyun Yao , Martin Andraud , Wannes Meert , Marian Verhelst

This Perspective focuses on the several overlaps between quantum algorithms and Monte Carlo methods in the domains of physics and chemistry. We will analyze the challenges and possibilities of integrating established quantum Monte Carlo…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-09-26 Guglielmo Mazzola

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms provide a very general recipe for estimating properties of complicated distributions. While their use has become commonplace and there is a large literature on MCMC theory and practice, MCMC users…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-03 Murali Haran , Luke Tierney

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a class of algorithms for drawing Markovian samples from high-dimensional target densities to approximate the numerical integration associated with computing statistical expectation, especially in Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Khoa T. Tran

A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet