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相关论文: Network Meta Analysis of Mean Survival

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The mean survival is the key ingredient of the decision process in several applications, notably in health economic evaluations. It is defined as the area under the complete survival curve, thus necessitating extrapolation of the observed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Anastasios Apsemidis , Nikolaos Demiris

Background: Assessment of long-term survival for health technology assessment often necessitates extrapolation beyond the duration of a clinical trial. Without robust methods and external data, extrapolations are unreliable. Flexible…

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used in healthcare decision-making, where estimates of the effect of multiple treatments on outcomes are required. For time-to-event outcomes such as survival or disease progression the most common…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-15 David M. Phillippo , Ayman Sadek , Hugo Pedder , Nicky J. Welton

Network meta-analysis is a powerful tool to synthesize evidence from independent studies and compare multiple treatments simultaneously. A critical task of performing a network meta-analysis is to offer ranks of all available treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-15 Andrés F. Barrientos , Garritt L. Page , Lifeng Lin

Health policy decisions are often informed by estimates of long-term survival based primarily on short-term data. A range of methods are available to include longer-term information, but there has previously been no comprehensive and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Christopher Jackson

Network meta-analysis (NMA) usually provides estimates of the relative effects with the highest possible precision. However, sparse networks with few available studies and limited direct evidence can arise, threatening the robustness and…

Background: Comparative effectiveness research using network meta-analysis can present a hierarchy of competing treatments, from the least to most preferable option. However, the research question associated with the hierarchy of multiple…

While standard meta-analysis pools the results from randomized trials that compare two treatments, network meta-analysis aggregates the results of randomized trials comparing a wider variety of treatment options. However, it is unclear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-15 Mireille E. Schnitzer , Russell J. Steele , Michèle Bally , Ian Shrier

Introduction: Modelling of relative treatment effects is an important aspect to consider when extrapolating the long-term survival outcomes of treatments. Flexible parametric models offer the ability to accurately model the observed data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Philip Cooney , Arthur White

In a network meta-analysis, some of the collected studies may deviate markedly from the others, for example having very unusual effect sizes. These deviating studies can be regarded as outlying with respect to the rest of the network and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-11 Silvia Metelli , Dimitris Mavridis , Perrine Créquit , Anna Chaimani

Survival analysis is a critical tool for the modelling of time-to-event data, such as life expectancy after a cancer diagnosis or optimal maintenance scheduling for complex machinery. However, current neural network models provide an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Fabio Luis de Mello , J Mark Wilkinson , Visakan Kadirkamanathan

Meta-analysis aims to generalize results from multiple related statistical analyses through a combined analysis. While the natural outcome of a Bayesian study is a posterior distribution, traditional Bayesian meta-analyses proceed by…

An aggregate data meta-analysis is a statistical method that pools the summary statistics of several selected studies to estimate the outcome of interest. When considering a continuous outcome, typically each study must report the same…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Sean McGrath , XiaoFei Zhao , Zhi Zhen Qin , Russell Steele , Andrea Benedetti

Extrapolating treatment effects from related studies is a promising strategy for designing and analyzing clinical trials in situations where achieving an adequate sample size is challenging. Bayesian methods are well-suited for this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Tristan Fauvel , Julien Tanniou , Pascal Godbillot , Marie Génin , Billy Amzal

Background: Pre-marketing authorisation estimates of survival are generally restricted to those observed directly in randomised controlled trials (RCTs). However, for regulatory and Health Technology Assessment (HTA) decision-making a…

Background Survival extrapolation is essential in the cost-effectiveness analysis to quantify the lifetime survival benefit associated with a new intervention, due to the restricted duration of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Zhaojing Che , Nathan Green , Gianluca Baio

We propose a novel Bayesian model selection technique on linear mixed-effects models to compare multiple treatments with a control. A fully Bayesian approach is implemented to estimate the marginal inclusion probabilities that provide a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-28 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal , Stephen R. Spindler , Patricia L. Mote

An artificial neural network architecture, parameterization networks, is proposed for simulating extrapolated dynamics beyond observed data in dynamical systems. Parameterization networks are used to ensure the long term integrity of…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2019-03-21 James P. L. Tan

Background: Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that leverage Bayes' theorem to portray dependencies and cause-and-effect relationships between variables. These networks have gained prominence in the field of health…

Networks underpin systems that range from finance to biology, yet their structure is often only partially observed. Current reconstruction methods typically fit the parameters of a model anew to each snapshot, thus offering no guidance to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-28 Mattia Marzi , Tiziano Squartini
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