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Network meta-analysis (NMA) synthesizes evidence for multiple treatments, but decisions on node formation can have important statistical implications including bias or inflated uncertainty. Existing data-driven methods often lack…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Timothy Disher , Chris Cameron , Brian Hutton

Time to an event of interest over a lifetime is a central measure of the clinical benefit of an intervention used in a health technology assessment (HTA). Within the same trial, multiple end-points may also be considered. For example,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Nathan Green , Murat Kurt , Andriy Moshyk , James Larkin , Gianluca Baio

Development of effective treatments in pediatric population poses unique scientific and ethical challenges in addition to the small population. In this regard, both the U.S. and E.U. regulations suggest a complementary strategy, pediatric…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Zhongheng Cai , Lian Ma , Jingjing Ye , Haitao Pan

Throughout the different phases of a drug development program, randomized trials are used to establish the tolerability, safety, and efficacy of a candidate drug. At each stage one aims to optimize the design of future studies by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-08 Sebastian Weber , Andrew Gelman , Daniel Lee , Michael Betancourt , Aki Vehtari , Amy Racine

For three decades statistical mechanics has been providing a framework to analyse neural networks. However, the theoretically tractable models, e.g., perceptrons, random features models and kernel machines, or multi-index models and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Jean Barbier , Francesco Camilli , Minh-Toan Nguyen , Mauro Pastore , Rudy Skerk

Graphical models are widely used to make inferences concerning interplay in multivariate systems. In many applications, data are collected from multiple related but nonidentical units whose underlying networks may differ but are likely to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-04 Chris J. Oates , Jim Korkola , Joe W. Gray , Sach Mukherjee

Network data have appeared frequently in recent research. For example, in comparing the effects of different types of treatment, network models have been proposed to improve the quality of estimation and hypothesis testing. In this paper,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Zhixin Zhou , Ping Li , Feifang Hu

We introduce a statistical procedure that integrates survival data from multiple biomedical studies, to improve the accuracy of predictions of survival or other events, based on individual clinical and genomic profiles, compared to models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-20 Steffen Ventz , Rahul Mazumder , Lorenzo Trippa

One straightforward metric to evaluate a survival prediction model is based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) -- the average of the absolute difference between the time predicted by the model and the true event time, over all subjects.…

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

In this paper, we develop a graphical modeling framework for the inference of networks across multiple sample groups and data types. In medical studies, this setting arises whenever a set of subjects, which may be heterogeneous due to…

We present a general approach to synthesizing evidence of time-to-event endpoints in meta-analyses of aggregate data (AD). Our work goes beyond most previous meta-analytic research by using reconstructed survival data as a source of…

In preclinical investigations, e.g. in in vitro, in vivo and in silico studies, the pharmacokinetic, pharmacodynamic and toxicological characteristics of a drug are evaluated before advancing to first-in-man trial. Usually, each study is…

This paper focuses on the Bayesian Network Propensity Score (BNPS), a novel approach for estimating treatment effects in observational studies characterized by unknown (and likely unbalanced) designs and complex dependency structures among…

Network meta-analysis combines aggregate data (AgD) from multiple randomised controlled trials, assuming that any effect modifiers are balanced across populations. Individual patient data (IPD) meta-regression is the "gold standard" method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-25 David M. Phillippo , Sofia Dias , A. E. Ades , Nicky J. Welton

Surrogate endpoints play an important role in drug development when they can be used to measure treatment effect early compared to the final clinical outcome and to predict clinical benefit or harm. Such endpoints are assessed for their…

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. De Campos

We outline a Bayesian model-averaged meta-analysis for standardized mean differences in order to quantify evidence for both treatment effectiveness $\delta$ and across-study heterogeneity $\tau$. We construct four competing models by…

In network meta-analysis (NMA), we synthesize all relevant evidence about health outcomes with competing treatments. The evidence may come from randomized controlled trials (RCT) or non-randomized studies (NRS) as individual participant…

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici