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Financial models have increasingly become popular in recent times, and the focus of researchers has been to find the perfect model which fits all circumstances; however, this has not been thoroughly achieved, and as a result, many financial…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Sydney Anuyah Mary Akinyemi , Chika Yinka-Banjo

A novel methodology for short-term energy forecasting using an Extreme Learning Machine ($\mathtt{ELM}$) is proposed. Using six years of hourly data collected in Corsica (France) from multiple energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, thermal,…

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

This study evaluates the effectiveness of a Mixture of Experts (MoE) model for stock price prediction by comparing it to a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and a linear regression model. The MoE framework combines an RNN for volatile stocks…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-11 Diego Vallarino

Electricity price signals in modern power systems exhibit complex dependence structures that render forecasting inherently challenging. Our analysis of real-world pricing signals from the California Independent System Operator (CAISO)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Keyi Wang , Jiaxiang Ji , Mahan Mansouri , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

The increasing importance of renewable energy, especially solar and wind power, has led to new forces in the formation of electricity prices. Hence, this paper introduces an econometric model for the hourly time series of electricity prices…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert , Sven Husmann

Electricity market operators worldwide use mixed-integer linear programming to solve the allocation problem in wholesale electricity markets. Prices are typically determined based on the duals of relaxed versions of this optimization…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Teodora Dobos , Johannes Knörr

The increasing focus on predicting renewable energy production aligns with advancements in deep learning (DL). The inherent variability of renewable sources and the complexity of prediction methods require robust approaches, such as DL…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu Sua , Bahram Alidaee

Unlabeled data are increasingly prevalent in contemporary economic studies, yet their effective use for improving prediction remains challenging because the outcomes are often costly or even infeasible to observe. Machine learning methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Fuzhi Xu , Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang

Data analytics and machine learning techniques are being rapidly adopted into the power system, including power system control as well as electricity market design. In this paper, from an adversarial machine learning point of view, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Jingshi Cui , Haoxiang Wang , Chenye Wu , Yang Yu

The helium I line intensity ratio (LIR) method is used to measure the electron density ($n_e$) and temperature ($T_e$) of fusion-relevant plasmas. Although the collisional-radiative model (CRM) has been used to predict $n_e$ and $T_e$,…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2025-06-26 Shin Kajita

Prosumer operators are dealing with extensive challenges to participate in short-term electricity markets while taking uncertainties into account. Challenges such as variation in demand, solar energy, wind power, and electricity prices as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-14 Saeed Mohammadi , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh

Power device reliability is a major concern during operation under extreme environments, as doing so reduces the operational lifetime of any power system or sensing infrastructure. Due to a potential for system failure, devices must be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Carlos Olivares , Raziur Rahman , Christopher Stankus , Jade Hampton , Andrew Zedwick , Moinuddin Ahmed

The most commonly used form of regularization typically involves defining the penalty function as a L1 or L2 norm. However, numerous alternative approaches remain untested in practical applications. In this study, we apply ten different…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Bartosz Uniejewski

Machine learning applied to generate data-driven models are lacking of transparency leading the process engineer to lose confidence in relying on the model predictions to optimize his industrial process. Bringing processes in the industry…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-21 Cedric Schockaert , Vadim Macher , Alexander Schmitz

This work integrates Bayesian regime detection with conditional neural processes for 24-hour electricity price prediction in the German market. Our methodology integrates regime detection using a disentangled sticky hierarchical Dirichlet…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Abhinav Das , Stephan Schlüter

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a critical role in power system operation and market decision making. While existing review studies have provided valuable insights into forecasting horizons, market mechanisms, and evaluation…

Norway's electricity market is heavily dominated by hydropower, but the 2021--2022 energy crisis and stronger integration with Continental Europe have fundamentally altered price formation, reducing the reliability of forecasting models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 My Thi Diem Phan , Trung Tuyen Truong , Hoai Phuong Ha , Dat Thanh Nguyen