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Spatio-temporal areal data can be seen as a collection of time series which are spatially correlated according to a specific neighboring structure. Incorporating the temporal and spatial dimension into a statistical model poses challenges…

Understanding the relationship between change in crime over time and the geography of urban areas is an important problem for urban planning. Accurate estimation of changing crime rates throughout a city would aid law enforcement as well as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-21 Cecilia Balocchi , Shane T. Jensen

In this paper we investigate the spatio-temporal dynamics of obesity rates across Italian regions from 2010 to 2022, aiming to identify spatial and temporal trends and assess potential heterogeneities. We implement a Bayesian hierarchical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Luciano Rota , Raffaele Argiento , Michela Cameletti

We present statistical techniques for analyzing global positioning system (GPS) data in order to understand, communicate about, and prevent patterns of violence. In this pilot study, participants in Nairobi, Kenya were asked to rate their…

Violence Against Women (VAW) is a widespread issue deeply rooted in social and cultural structures. Affecting women of all ages and backgrounds, VAW is often underreported due to stigma and victim-blaming. This study explores young people's…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Crescenza Calculli , Serena Arima , Alessio Pollice , Nunziata Ribecco

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

The COVID-19 pandemic provided many modeling challenges to investigate the evolution of an epidemic process over areal units. A suitable encompassing model must describe the spatio-temporal variations of the disease infection rate of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-20 Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Dankmar Boehning , Sujit Sahu

The integration of longitudinal measurements and survival time in statistical modeling offers a powerful framework for capturing the interplay between these two essential outcomes, particularly when they exhibit associations. However, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Taban Baghfalaki , Mojtaba Ganjali , Rui Martins

County-level estimates of opioid use disorder (OUD) are essential for understanding the influence of local economic and social conditions. They provide policymakers with the granular information needed to identify, target, and implement…

Ageing societies face increasing strain on formal and informal care systems, particularly in low-density mountainous municipalities where sparse services and steep terrain constrain access. This study presents a spatially explicit…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Roberto garrone

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

This study presents a spatiotemporal dual Bayesian model that examines both the occurrence and number of conflict fatalities using event-level data from Ethiopia (1997-2024), sourced from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Yassin Tesfaw Abebe , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Lassi Roininen , Mohammed Seid Ali

To obtain operational insights regarding the crime of burglary in London we consider the estimation of effects of covariates on the intensity of spatial point patterns. By taking into account localised properties of criminal behaviour, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-25 Jan Povala , Seppo Virtanen , Mark Girolami

Prevalence mapping in low resource settings is an increasingly important endeavor to guide policy making and to spatially and temporally characterize the burden of disease. We will focus our discussion on consideration of the complex design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-15 Jon Wakefield , Daniel Simpson , Jessica Godwin

This paper extends Bayesian mortality projection models for multiple populations considering the stochastic structure and the effect of spatial autocorrelation among the observations. We explain high levels of overdispersion according to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Zhen Liu , Xiaoqian Sun , Yu-Bo Wang

We introduce Bayesian spatial change of support methodology for count-valued survey data with known survey variances. Our proposed methodology is motivated by the American Community Survey (ACS), an ongoing survey administered by the U.S.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-10-29 Jonathan R. Bradley , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

We present a novel approach to estimate the delay observed between the occurrence and reporting of rape crimes. We explore spatial, temporal and social effects in sparse aggregated (area-level) and high-dimensional disaggregated…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-11-22 Konstantin Klemmer , Daniel B. Neill , Stephen A. Jarvis

In this study, we introduce a novel and comprehensive extension of a Bayesian spatio-temporal disease mapping model that explicitly accounts for gender-specific effects of meteorological exposures. Leveraging fine-scale weekly mortality and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Corinna Perchtold , Julia Eisenberg , Philipp Otto

From a statistical point of view, crime data present certain peculiarities that have led to a growing interest in their analysis. In particular, a characteristic that some property crimes frequently present is the existence of uncertainty…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-13 Álvaro Briz-Redón

We present a class of spatiotemporal models for Poisson areal data suitable for the analysis of emerging infectious diseases. These models assume Poisson observations related through a link equation to a latent random field process. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-03 Marco A. R. Ferreira , Juan C. Vivar
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