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We investigate the problem of semi-parametric maximum likelihood under constraints on summary statistics. Such a procedure results in a discrete probability distribution that maximises the likelihood among all such distributions under the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-21 Subhro Ghosh , Sanjay Chaudhuri

We consider the Random Walk Metropolis algorithm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one-dimensional law. It is well known (see Roberts et al. (Ann. Appl. Probab. 7…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-22 Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Błażej Miasojedow

Estimating conditional independence graphs from high-dimensional Gaussian data is challenging because methods must detect relevant edges while rigorously controlling statistical errors. We propose a Bayesian framework based on a prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Roland B. Sogan , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

Random walks are the simplest way to explore or search a graph, and have revealed a very useful tool to investigate and characterize the structural properties of complex networks from the real world, e.g. they have been used to identify the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-06-11 Timoteo Carletti , Malbor Asllani , Duccio Fanelli , Vito Latora

The Bayesian approach to inference stands out for naturally allowing borrowing information across heterogeneous populations, with different samples possibly sharing the same distribution. A popular Bayesian nonparametric model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-25 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

This study introduces an algorithm that generates undirected graphs with three main characteristics of real-world networks: scale-freeness, short distances between nodes (small-world phenomenon), and large clustering coefficients. The main…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 João Pedro C. Morais , Ruben Interian

Multivariate Gaussian is often used as a first approximation to the distribution of high-dimensional data. Determining the parameters of this distribution under various constraints is a widely studied problem in statistics, and is often…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-09 Samuel Balmand , Arnak Dalalyan

In Bayesian inverse problems, the posterior distribution is used to quantify uncertainty about the reconstructed solution. In practice, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms often are used to draw samples from the posterior distribution.…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-03-13 D. Andrew Brown , Arvind Saibaba , Sarah Vallélian

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

We introduce a general framework that constructs estimators with reduced variance for random walk Metropolis and Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms. The resulting estimators require negligible computational cost and are derived in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

This paper introduces and reviews some of the principles and methods used in Bayesian reliability. It specifically discusses methods used in the analysis of success/no-success data and then reminds the reader of a simple Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-10 Carsten H. Botts

Statistical models for multivariate data often include a semi-orthogonal matrix parameter. In many applications, there is reason to expect that the semi-orthogonal matrix parameter satisfies a structural assumption such as sparsity or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Michael Jauch , Marie-Christine Düker , Peter Hoff

The Katz centrality of a node in a complex network is a measure of the node's importance as far as the flow of information across the network is concerned. For ensembles of locally tree-like and undirected random graphs, this observable is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-02 Silvia Bartolucci , Francesco Caravelli , Fabio Caccioli , Pierpaolo Vivo

We study the probability distribution of the area and the number of vertices of random polygons in a convex set $K\subset\mathbb{R}^2$. The novel aspect of our approach is that it yields uniform estimates for all convex sets…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 John Pardon

This paper develops a Bayesian control chart for the percentiles of the Weibull distribution, when both its in-control and out-of-control parameters are unknown. The Bayesian approach enhances parameter estimates for small sample sizes that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-06 Pasquale Erto , Giuliana Pallotta , Christina M. Mastrangelo

We formalise and generalise the definition of the family of univariate double two--piece distributions, obtained by using a density--based transformation of unimodal symmetric continuous distributions with a shape parameter. The resulting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-07 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Discrete Bayesian nonparametric models whose expectation is a convex linear combination of a point mass at some point of the support and a diffuse probability distribution allow to incorporate strong prior information, while still being…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-22 Antonio Canale , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

Subgroup analysis is a frequently used tool for evaluating heterogeneity of treatment effect and heterogeneity in treatment harm across observed baseline patient characteristics. While treatment efficacy and adverse event measures are often…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-14 Nicholas C. Henderson , Ravi Varadhan

The elicitation of an ordinal judgment on multiple alternatives is often required in many psychological and behavioral experiments to investigate preference/choice orientation of a specific population. The Plackett-Luce model is one of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-10 Cristina Mollica , Luca Tardella