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Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

The restricted mean survival time is a clinically easy-to-interpret measure that does not require any assumption of proportional hazards. We focus on two ways to directly model the survival time and adjust the covariates. One is to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-03 Keisuke Hanada , Junji Moriya , Masahiro Kojima

Interval censoring arises frequently in clinical, epidemiological, financial, and sociological studies, where the event or failure of interest is known only to occur within an interval induced by periodic monitoring. We formulate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-01 Donglin Zeng , Lu Mao , D. Y. Lin

In this paper we consider a time-to-event variable $T$ that is subject to random right censoring, and we assume that the censoring time $C$ is stochastically dependent on $T$ and that there is a positive probability of not observing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-14 Morine Delhelle , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Valid estimation of treatment effects from observational data requires proper control of confounding. If the number of covariates is large relative to the number of observations, then controlling for all available covariates is infeasible.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-11 Joseph Antonelli , Matthew Cefalu , Nathan Palmer , Denis Agniel

In prevalent cohort studies with follow-up, the time-to-event outcome is subject to left truncation leading to selection bias. For estimation of the distribution of time-to-event, conventional methods adjusting for left truncation tend to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Yuyao Wang , Andrew Ying , Ronghui Xu

In causal inference, estimating the average treatment effect is a central objective, and in the context of competing risks data, this effect can be quantified by the cause-specific cumulative incidence function (CIF) difference. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Yifei Tian , Ying Wu

We consider continuous-time survival or more general event-history settings, where the aim is to infer the causal effect of a time-dependent treatment process. This is formalised as the effect on the outcome event of a (possibly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Kjetil Røysland , Pål Ryalen , Mari Nygård , Vanessa Didelez

We propose a nonparametric bivariate time-varying coefficient model for longitudinal measurements with the occurrence of a terminal event that is subject to right censoring. The time-varying coefficients capture the longitudinal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-10 Yue Wang , Bin Nan , Jack D. Kalbfleisch

Structural Nested Mean Models (SNMMs) are useful for causal inference of treatment effects in longitudinal observational studies. Most existing works assume that the data are collected at pre-fixed time points for all subjects, which,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Shu Yang

Uncertainty quantification of prediction models through prediction sets is increasingly popular and successful, but most existing methods rely on directly observing the outcome and do not appropriately handle censored outcomes, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Wenwen Si , Hongxiang Qiu

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making strong assumptions of constant proportional hazard of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Chirag Nagpal , Xinyu Rachel Li , Artur Dubrawski

In survival analysis, estimating the conditional survival function given predictors is often of interest. There is a growing trend in the development of deep learning methods for analyzing censored time-to-event data, especially when…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Sehwan Kim , Rui Wang , Wenbin Lu

Simulation studies are useful for evaluating and developing statistical methods for the analyses of complex problems. Performance of methods may be affected by multiple complexities present in real scenarios. Generating sufficiently…

This paper proposes a modelling strategy to infer the impact of a covariate on the dependence structure of right-censored clustered event time data. The joint survival function of the event times is modelled using a parametric conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-07 Candida Geerdens , Elif Fidan Acar , Paul Janssen

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu

This paper extends doubly robust censoring unbiased transformations to a broad class of censored data structures under the assumption of coarsening at random and positivity. This includes the classic survival and competing risks setting,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Oliver Lunding Sandqvist

We present a new estimator of the restricted mean survival time in randomized trials where there is right censoring that may depend on treatment and baseline variables. The proposed estimator leverages prognostic baseline variables to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Iván Díaz , Elizabeth Colantuoni , Daniel F. Hanley , Michael Rosenblum