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Machine learning (ML) offers a computationally efficient approach for generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate projections, but deterministic ML methods often smooth fine-scale structures and underestimate extremes. While…

Flood prediction is critical for emergency planning and response to mitigate human and economic losses. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic models generate high-resolution flood maps using numerical methods requiring fine-grid…

Machine learning for time-series forecasting remains a key area of research. Despite successful application of many machine learning techniques, relating computational efficiency to forecast error remains an under-explored domain. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Elin Törnquist , Wagner Costa Santos , Timothy Pogue , Nicholas Wingle , Robert A. Caulk

A 'nowcast' is a type of weather forecast which makes predictions in the very short term, typically less than two hours - a period in which traditional numerical weather prediction can be limited. This type of weather prediction has…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-05-12 Rachel Prudden , Samantha Adams , Dmitry Kangin , Niall Robinson , Suman Ravuri , Shakir Mohamed , Alberto Arribas

As global warming increases the complexity of weather patterns; the precision of weather forecasting becomes increasingly important. Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model developed to improve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang , Minjong Cheon

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Accurate weather forecasting across time scales is critical for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recent data-driven methods based on deep learning have achieved significant success in the medium range, but struggle…

We introduce ForeSight, a novel joint detection and forecasting framework for vision-based 3D perception in autonomous vehicles. Traditional approaches treat detection and forecasting as separate sequential tasks, limiting their ability to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Sandro Papais , Letian Wang , Brian Cheong , Steven L. Waslander

Data driven modeling based approaches have recently gained a lot of attention in many challenging meteorological applications including weather element forecasting. This paper introduces a novel data-driven predictive model based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-16 Yimin Yang , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Weather radar echoes, correlated in both space and time, are the most important input data for short-term precipitation forecast. Motivated by real datasets, this paper is concerned with the spatio-temporal modeling of two-dimensional radar…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-03 Xiao Liu , Viknesswaran Gopal , Jayant Kalagnanam

Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

Modeling precipitation and its accumulation over time and space is essential for flood risk assessment. In this paper, we analyze rainfall data collected over several years through a micro-scale precipitation sensor network in Montpellier,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Chloé Serre-Combe , Nicolas Meyer , Thomas Opitz , Gwladys Toulemonde

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

The problem of high-quality drought forecasting up to a year in advance is critical for agriculture planning and insurance. Yet, it is still unsolved with reasonable accuracy due to data complexity and aridity stochasticity. We tackle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Alexander Marusov , Vsevolod Grabar , Yury Maximov , Nazar Sotiriadi , Alexander Bulkin , Alexey Zaytsev

Building subsurface velocity models is essential to our goals in utilizing seismic data for Earth discovery and exploration, as well as monitoring. With the dawn of machine learning, these velocity models (or, more precisely, their…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-08-20 Randy Harsuko , Shijun Cheng , Tariq Alkhalifah

Real-world problems often involve complex and unstructured sets of measurements, which occur when sensors are sparsely placed in either space or time. Being able to model this irregular spatiotemporal data and extract meaningful forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Arnaud Pannatier , Kyle Matoba , François Fleuret

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

Accurate precipitation estimates at individual locations are crucial for weather forecasting and spatial analysis. This study presents a paradigm shift by leveraging Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to surpass traditional methods like Kriging…

Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks. These models achieve long-term forecasting mainly by scaling up the model size rather than through genuinely autoregressive (AR) rollout. From…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Zheng Li , Jerry Cheng , Huanying Gu

In this work, we present GPDiT, a Generative Pre-trained Autoregressive Diffusion Transformer that unifies the strengths of diffusion and autoregressive modeling for long-range video synthesis, within a continuous latent space. Instead of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Yuan Zhang , Jiacheng Jiang , Guoqing Ma , Zhiying Lu , Haoyang Huang , Jianlong Yuan , Nan Duan , Daxin Jiang