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Inspired by the iconic movie Back to the Future, this paper explores an innovative adaptive nowcasting approach that reimagines the relationship between present actions and future outcomes. In the movie, characters travel through time to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Ziheng Sun

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar echo maps is essential in meteorological research. Recently, Convolutional RNNs based methods dominate this field, but they cannot be solved by parallel computation resulting in longer inference time.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-05-06 Feng Sun , Cong Bai

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Léa Berthomier , Bruno Pradel , Lior Perez

AI-based systems, such as Google's GenCast, have recently redefined the state of the art in weather forecasting, offering more accurate and timely predictions of both everyday weather and extreme events. While these systems are on the verge…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-04-23 Erik Imgrund , Thorsten Eisenhofer , Konrad Rieck

Deep learning has significantly improved the accuracy of precipitation nowcasting. However, most existing multimodal models typically use simple channel concatenation or interpolation methods for data fusion, which often overlook the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Henan Wang , Shengwu Xiong , Yifang Zhang , Wenjie Yin , Chen Zhou , Yuqiang Zhang , Pengfei Duan

Machine learning models have made significant progress in load forecasting, but their forecast accuracy is limited in cases where historical load data is scarce. Inspired by the outstanding performance of large language models (LLMs) in…

Probabilistic forecasting of time series is an important matter in many applications and research fields. In order to draw conclusions from a probabilistic forecast, we must ensure that the model class used to approximate the true…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Philipp F. M. Baumann , Thomas Kneib , Torsten Hothorn

Surface solar irradiance (SSI) plays a crucial role in tackling climate change - as an abundant, non-fossil energy source, exploited primarily via photovoltaic (PV) energy production. With the growing contribution of SSI to total energy…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-20 Alberto Carpentieri , Doris Folini , Jussi Leinonen , Angela Meyer

Storm-scale convection-allowing models (CAMs) are an important tool for predicting the evolution of thunderstorms and mesoscale convective systems that result in damaging extreme weather. By explicitly resolving convective dynamics within…

Recently, flood damage has become a social problem owing to unexperienced weather conditions arising from climate change. An immediate response to heavy rain is important for the mitigation of economic losses and also for rapid recovery.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Takato Yasuno , Akira Ishii , Masazumi Amakata

With the advance of diffusion models, today's video generation has achieved impressive quality. But generating temporal consistent long videos is still challenging. A majority of video diffusion models (VDMs) generate long videos in an…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Kaifeng Gao , Jiaxin Shi , Hanwang Zhang , Chunping Wang , Jun Xiao

Video generation using diffusion models is highly computationally intensive, with 3D attention in Diffusion Transformer (DiT) models accounting for over 80\% of the total computational resources. In this work, we introduce {\bf RainFusion},…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Aiyue Chen , Bin Dong , Jingru Li , Jing Lin , Kun Tian , Yiwu Yao , Gongyi Wang

Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) have achieved great success in image generation but suffer from high inference latency due to their iterative denoising nature. Motivated by the evolving feature dynamics across the denoising…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-23 Haodong He , Yuan Gao , Weizhong Zhang , Gui-Song Xia

Recently, deep-learning weather forecasting models have surpassed traditional numerical models in terms of the accuracy of meteorological variables. However, there is considerable potential for improvements in precipitation forecasts,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-20 Weiwen Ji , Jin Feng , Yueqi Liu , Yulu Qiu , Hua Gao

The precise prediction of multi-scale traffic is a ubiquitous challenge in the urbanization process for car owners, road administrators, and governments. In the case of complex road networks, current and past traffic information from both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Jinhui Ouyang , Yijie Zhu , Xiang Yuan , Di Wu

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

We present a stochastic mean-reverting jump-diffusion model to simulate rainfall time series and validate it using long-term half-hourly rain fall data from the North-East region of India. The model captures the intermittent and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-10 Joya GhoshDastider , D. Pal , Pankaj Kumar Mishra

Video prediction is a challenging computer vision task that has a wide range of applications. In this work, we present a new family of Transformer-based models for video prediction. Firstly, an efficient local spatial-temporal separation…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Xi Ye , Guillaume-Alexandre Bilodeau

Human mobility modeling from GPS-trajectories and synthetic trajectory generation are crucial for various applications, such as urban planning, disaster management and epidemiology. Both of these tasks often require filling gaps in a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Shang-Ling Hsu , Emmanuel Tung , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi , Khurram Shafique

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey
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