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Bayesian methods are developed for the multivariate nonparametric regression problem where the domain is taken to be a compact Riemannian manifold. In terms of the latter, the underlying geometry of the manifold induces certain symmetries…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Jean-François Angers , Peter T. Kim

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

Sequential Bayesian inference over predictive functions is a natural framework for continual learning from streams of data. However, applying it to neural networks has proved challenging in practice. Addressing the drawbacks of existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Freddie Bickford Smith , Qixuan Feng , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

One of the main problems of importance sampling in Bayesian networks is representation of the importance function, which should ideally be as close as possible to the posterior joint distribution. Typically, we represent an importance…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Changhe Yuan , Marek J. Druzdzel

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

Bayesian inference for inverse problems hinges critically on the choice of priors. In the absence of specific prior information, population-level distributions can serve as effective priors for parameters of interest. With the advent of…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-02-11 Gabriel Missael Barco , Alexandre Adam , Connor Stone , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

We present a novel approach for constrained Bayesian inference. Unlike current methods, our approach does not require convexity of the constraint set. We reduce the constrained variational inference to a parametric optimization over the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Joydeep Ghosh

We show that many machine-learning algorithms are specific instances of a single algorithm called the \emph{Bayesian learning rule}. The rule, derived from Bayesian principles, yields a wide-range of algorithms from fields such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Håvard Rue

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Regression models are used in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers from different fields. Linear, or simple parametric, models are often not sufficient to describe complex relationships between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

Measurement error occurs when a covariate influencing a response variable is corrupted by noise. This can lead to misleading inference outcomes, particularly in problems where accurately estimating the relationship between covariates and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Charita Dellaporta , Theodoros Damoulas

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) offer a powerful approach to solving partial differential equations (PDEs), which are ubiquitous in the quantitative sciences. Applied to both forward and inverse problems across various scientific…

We investigate the use of normalizing flow (NF) models as flexible priors in Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for iterative Bayesian calibration. Trained on posteriors from previous analyses, these models can…

核理论 · 物理学 2026-04-02 Hendrik Roch , Chun Shen

Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

Bayesian filtering for high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems is a fundamental yet challenging problem in many fields of science and engineering. Existing methods face significant obstacles: Gaussian-based filters struggle…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-06 Xintong Wang , Xiaofei Guan , Ling Guo , Hao Wu

In recent years, research on hyperspectral image (HSI) classification has continuous progress on introducing deep network models, and recently the graph convolutional network (GCN) based models have shown impressive performance. However,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Mingyang Zhang , Ziqi Di , Maoguo Gong , Yue Wu , Hao Li , Xiangming Jiang