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The paper introduces a novel conditional independence (CI) based method for linear and nonlinear, lagged and contemporaneous causal discovery from observational time series in the causally sufficient case. Existing CI-based methods such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-07 Jakob Runge

The identification of the lag length for vector autoregressive models by mean of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Partial Autoregressive and Correlation Matrices (PAM and PCM hereafter) is studied in the framework of processes with time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-27 Hamdi RaÏssi

We present a general approach for studying autoregressive categorical time series models with dependence of infinite order and defined conditional on an exogenous covariate process. To this end, we adapt a coupling approach, developed in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-01 Lionel Truquet

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a sparse, high-dimensional stationary multivariate Gaussian time series. A sparse-group lasso-based frequency-domain formulation of the problem based on…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-06 Jitendra K. Tugnait

Medical time series data, such as EEG and ECG, are vital for diagnosing neurological and cardiovascular diseases. However, their precise interpretation faces significant challenges due to high annotation costs, leading to data scarcity, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Kaito Tanaka , Aya Nakayama , Masato Ito , Yuji Nishimura , Keisuke Matsuda

Estimation of the conditional independence graph (CIG) of high-dimensional multivariate Gaussian time series from multi-attribute data is considered. Existing methods for graph estimation for such data are based on single-attribute models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Jitendra K. Tugnait

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

Learning causal graphs from multivariate time series is a ubiquitous challenge in all application domains dealing with time-dependent systems, such as in Earth sciences, biology, or engineering, to name a few. Recent developments for this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Kevin Debeire , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus , Veronika Eyring

This article introduces new methods for the analysis of cyclostationary time series with infinite variance. Traditional cyclostationary analysis, based on periodically correlated (PC) processes, relies on the autocovariance function (ACVF).…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Nonlinear machine-learning models are increasingly used to discover causal relationships in time-series data, yet the interpretation of their outputs remains poorly understood. In particular, causal scores produced by regularized neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Valentina Kuskova , Dmitry Zaytsev , Michael Coppedge

In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-12 Marie Hušková , Natalie Neumeyer , Tobias Niebuhr , Leonie Selk

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Motivated by a variety of applications, high-dimensional time series have become an active topic of research. In particular, several methods and finite-sample theories for individual stable autoregressive processes with known lag have…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-06 Somnath Chakraborty , Johannes Lederer , Rainer von Sachs

While logistic regression models are easily accessible to researchers, when applied to network data there are unrealistic assumptions made about the dependence structure of the data. For temporal networks measured in discrete time, recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Daniel K. Sewell

We propose a method for inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector time series (discrete-time process) from a finite-length observation. By contrast to existing approaches, we do not rely on a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-28 Alexander Jung

To study the neurophysiological basis of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), clinicians use electroencephalography (EEG) which record neuronal electrical activity on the cortex. Instead of focusing on single-channel spectral…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Paolo Victor Redondo , Raphael Huser , Hernando Ombao

High levels of missing data and strong class imbalance are ubiquitous challenges that are often presented simultaneously in real-world time series data. Existing methods approach these problems separately, frequently making significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-28 Fiorella Wever , T. Anderson Keller , Laura Symul , Victor Garcia

Correlation remains to be one of the most widely used statistical tools for assessing the strength of relationships between data series. This paper presents a novel compositional correlation method for detecting linear and nonlinear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-09 Fatih Dikbas

Understanding associations between paired high-dimensional longitudinal datasets is a fundamental yet challenging problem that arises across scientific domains, including longitudinal multi-omic studies. The difficulty stems from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Jianbin Tan , Pixu Shi
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